Wind Astra ClericTier 2
at Akihabara Regional
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 17.5% | 9 | 5-2-2 | 66.7% | 61.5% | 54.6% | +2.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.2% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 41.9% | -5.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.6% | 5 | 3-1-1 | 70.0% | 61.1% | 66.5% | +9.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.4% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 46.9% | -2.0 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.1% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 64.7% | +11.0 |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.5% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 34.1% | -10.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.1 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 60.6% | +10.2 |
| Fire Oblation | 2.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.9% | +17.5 |
| Water Genbu | 2.5% | 6 | 0-4-2 | 16.7% | 30.0% | 35.9% | -7.5 |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 73.2% | +22.3 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.3% | +2.1 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.7 |
| Wind Allies | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.6 |
| Wind Arcane | 2.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.0% | +3.8 |
| Water Fractal | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.6% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 46.7% | -2.5 |
| Fire Slimes | 1.6% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 65.3% | +11.4 |
| Fire Suited | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.2% | -20.5 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.0% | -11.1 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.1% | -11.0 |
| Fire Arcane | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.8% | +18.9 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ciel | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 0.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.2 |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 0.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.0 |
| Horse and Taxes | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ciel | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Guardian | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Vanitas | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 9 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Regenerate, Horticounter. Losers more often ran: Ravaging Tempest, Scout the Land, Beseech the Winds.
Show all 27 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 22 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravaging Tempest | -1.00 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Stellaria Shower | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Arrow Trap | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Astral Seal | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Humpty Dumpty, Fate's Fall | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spellshield: Astra | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Beseech the Winds | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Necklace of Foresight | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Chalice of Blood | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Regenerate | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Serene Wind | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Nascent Barrier | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Horticounter | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lunar Seer | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Fragmented Spirit of Wind | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dawn's Reversal | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Hide in Bush | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Chibi, Battle of Red Cliffs | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mnemonic Charm | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Orb of Glitter | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Meteor Strike | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |