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Wind RazorgaleTier 2

at Akihabara Regional

decks
8 (2.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
50 23-22-5
overall winrate
51.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.1% avg ELO -1.7 per match
expected value
47.5% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.8% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1330 · median 1331 · range 1075–1549 (8 pilots with an ELO rating)
988 Q1 1233 Q3 1408 1694
38% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 25% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Crux Lorraine 17.5% 7 1-6-0 14.3% 27.3% 25.3% -12.4
Wind Seiryuu 10.2% 6 4-2-0 66.7% 60.0% 52.0% +1.1
Fire Crux Mage 9.6% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 41.7% -6.2
Wind Shadowstrike 6.4% 2 0-0-2 50.0% 50.0% 53.7% +3.5
Fire Suzaku 5.1% 8 6-2-0 75.0% 66.7% 71.4% +10.3
Water Allies 4.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.3% +11.7
Water Aetherwing 3.5% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 44.8% -8.4
Fire Aggro 3.2% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 43.1% -11.0
Wind Wakeup Combo 3.2% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 60.3% +9.9
Wind Astra Cleric 2.9% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 26.8% -22.3
Fire Oblation 2.5% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 47.9% -2.1
Water Genbu 2.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.6% -16.7
Fire Crux Merlin 2.2% 0
Fire Umbra Guardian 2.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.1% +1.8
Wind Allies 2.2% 3 2-0-1 83.3% 64.3% 54.2% +3.1
Wind Arcane 2.2% 0
Water Fractal 1.9% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 1.6% 0
Fire Slimes 1.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 64.3% +22.8
Fire Suited 1.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 55.4% +8.6
Water Umbra Guardian 1.6% 0
Fire Firebloom Burn 1.3% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 1.3% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 32.7% -16.6
Fire Arcane 0.6% 0
Fire Tera Mage 0.6% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 46.2% -3.6
Water Astra Ranger 0.6% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 0.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 37.9% -19.4
Wind Ciel 0.6% 0
Wind Luxem Zander 0.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 47.0% -4.7
Fire Exia 0.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.3% -14.0
Fire Umbra Ciel 0.3% 0
Horse and Taxes 0.3% 0
Slimes 0.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.5% +13.6
Water Crux Lorraine 0.3% 0
Water Crux Mage 0.3% 0
Water Neos 0.3% 0
Water Tera Cleric 0.3% 0
Wind Luxem Assassin 0.3% 0
Wind Slice & Dice 0.3% 0
Wind Umbra Ciel 0.3% 0
Wind Umbra Guardian 0.3% 0
Wind Vanitas 0.3% 0
Decklists · 8 from this event

JSON: /api/events/39202/archetypes/Wind Razorgale