← AK PTM Regionals (GCC Side Event)
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at AK PTM Regionals (GCC Side Event)
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.5% | 13 | 5-5-3 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.0% | -1.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.9% | 10 | 4-5-1 | 45.0% | 46.4% | 38.0% | -5.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.1% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 61.6% | +7.4 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 6.0% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 50.8% | +0.4 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 5.5% | 6 | 4-2-0 | 66.7% | 60.0% | 57.0% | +3.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.9% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.3% | -0.5 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.9% | 7 | 3-3-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 42.2% | -3.9 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.4% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 49.4% | -0.6 |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.4% | 8 | 5-3-0 | 62.5% | 58.3% | 55.3% | +2.5 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.8% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 39.9% | -7.5 |
| Fire Exia | 2.7% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.8% | +1.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.7% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.2% | -1.3 |
| Fire Oblation | 2.2% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 47.7% | -2.2 |
| Fire Suited | 2.2% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 34.3% | -11.7 |
| Water Allies | 2.2% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 39.0% | -8.2 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.3% | +5.2 |
| Fire Slimes | 1.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.1% | -3.1 |
| Wind Allies | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +12.0 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.0% | +17.5 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.6% | -13.5 |
| Water Fractal | 1.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.9% | -5.0 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 1.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.0% | +17.7 |
| Arcane | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Seiryuu | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 0.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.3% | -2.7 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 0.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.5% | -5.6 |
| Wind Arcane | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.7% | +13.9 |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.8 |
| Wind Oblation | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.5% | +10.5 |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Alice | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.5% | +10.5 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 13 from this event
The 13 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 4 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 4 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Prismspire Scepter, Return to the Archive, Unmake Duality. Losers more often ran: Portentous Tanggu, Resolute Stand, Reduce to Ash.
Banned
Show all 39 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 28 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prismspire Scepter | +1.00 | 4 | 0 | 0 | |
| Portentous Tanggu | -1.00 | 0 | 4 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | -0.75 | 0 | 3 | 1 | |
| Return to the Archive | +0.75 | 3 | 0 | 1 | |
| Unmake Duality | +0.75 | 3 | 0 | 1 | |
| The Looking Glass | +0.75 | 3 | 0 | 1 | |
| Reduce to Ash | -0.75 | 0 | 3 | 1 | |
| Excalibur, Cleansing Light | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Vanish from Sight | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Tabula of Salvage | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Topsy Decree | +0.50 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Juggle Knives | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Varuckan Acolyte | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Coronation Ceremony | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Fast Cure | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Blinding Orb | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Insignia of the Corhazi | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Under Fire | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lost Providence | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Waited Accord | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Wisdom's Reprise | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fiery Interference | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ducal Seal | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Planted Explosive | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Flame Sweep | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Annul Spell | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wool Brook | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Nefarious Timepiece | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Stolen Chance | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Oneiric Key | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scry the Skies | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Orb of Sealing | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |