AK PTM Regionals (GCC Side Event)

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	21	11.5%	63-46-27	56.2%	53.1%	52.2%	50.8%	1290	—
2		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	20	10.9%	50-49-15	50.4%	47.1%	52.2%	49.6%	1324	↑ top
3		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	13	7.1%	42-34-8	54.8%	51.0%	50.4%	49.8%	1291	—
4		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	13	7.1%	42-33-14	55.1%	48.4%	52.2%	48.6%	1292	—
5		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	11	6.0%	24-47-2	34.2%	42.9%	42.1%	46.6%	1157	↓ low
6		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 2	10	5.5%	29-34-10	46.6%	51.1%	47.6%	50.1%	1245	—
7		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	9	4.9%	29-24-6	54.2%	56.9%	49.9%	52.3%	1245	—
8		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	9	4.9%	24-30-5	44.9%	46.0%	45.2%	47.2%	1252	—
9		Fire Suzaku	Tier 1	8	4.4%	24-20-5	54.1%	52.9%	52.4%	52.0%	1293	—
10		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	8	4.4%	28-25-5	52.6%	56.5%	51.4%	54.5%	1280	—
11		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	7	3.8%	24-16-7	58.5%	52.5%	56.1%	53.5%	1336	↑ top
12		Fire Exia	Tier 2	5	2.7%	14-13-3	51.7%	48.9%	50.5%	49.7%	1256	—
13		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	5	2.7%	10-17-11	40.8%	43.6%	45.6%	46.7%	1272	—
14		Fire Oblation	Tier 2	4	2.2%	8-7-7	52.3%	55.8%	48.2%	50.0%	1236	—
15		Fire Suited	Tier 2	4	2.2%	14-14-3	50.0%	53.8%	50.5%	52.3%	1274	—
16		Water Allies	Tier 2	4	2.2%	15-10-3	58.9%	55.9%	50.4%	50.7%	1265	—
17		Wind Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	4	2.2%	5-10-1	34.4%	43.6%	48.4%	49.8%	1196	↓ low
18		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	3	1.6%	13-7-4	62.5%	57.3%	56.7%	55.4%	1328	↑ top
19		Wind Allies	Tier 3	3	1.6%	10-14-2	42.3%	55.8%	43.8%	48.1%	1161	↓ low
20		Wind Wakeup Combo	Tier 2	3	1.6%	11-11-2	50.0%	49.2%	50.0%	49.3%	1216	↓ low
21		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	2	1.1%	5-6-0	45.5%	49.5%	48.7%	49.9%	1303	—
22		Water Fractal	Tier 2	2	1.1%	9-4-3	65.6%	55.9%	53.9%	52.6%	1328	↑ top
23		Wind Slice & Dice	Tier 3	2	1.1%	6-9-1	40.6%	36.3%	45.0%	42.7%	1257	—
24		Arcane	Tier 3	1	0.5%	2-3-0	40.0%	38.3%	46.4%	46.0%	1469	↑ top
25		Fire Seiryuu	Tier 3	1	0.5%	0-3-0	0.0%	29.2%	40.0%	40.3%	1190	↓ low
26		Horse and Taxes	Tier 2	1	0.5%	5-2-1	68.8%	60.3%	53.9%	52.5%	1472	↑ top
27		Slimes	Tier 3	1	0.5%	3-5-0	37.5%	51.0%	47.7%	50.7%	1208	↓ low
28		Water Dawn of Ashes	Tier 3	1	0.5%	1-2-1	37.5%	46.6%	46.9%	48.1%	1208	↓ low
29		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	0.5%	5-1-2	75.0%	54.2%	54.6%	51.2%	1685	↑ top
30		Water Neos	Tier 3	1	0.5%	1-2-1	37.5%	46.6%	46.9%	48.1%	1208	↓ low
31		Water Seiryuu	Tier 3	1	0.5%	1-3-0	25.0%	35.3%	42.6%	44.0%	1186	↓ low
32		Water Umbra Ciel	Tier 3	1	0.5%	1-7-1	16.7%	30.8%	38.4%	40.6%	993	↓ low
33		Water Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	0.5%	3-4-2	44.4%	49.1%	50.1%	51.6%	1242	—
34		Wind Arcane	Tier 3	1	0.5%	2-3-0	40.0%	45.1%	45.0%	46.2%	1183	↓ low
35		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 3	1	0.5%	2-4-2	37.5%	41.1%	47.3%	47.3%	1173	↓ low
36		Wind Lorraine	Tier 3	1	0.5%	3-3-2	50.0%	51.5%	46.9%	47.0%	1214	↓ low
37		Wind Oblation	Tier 3	1	0.5%	2-6-0	25.0%	38.7%	44.8%	47.5%	1115	↓ low
38		Wind Razorgale	Tier 3	1	0.5%	3-5-0	37.5%	45.3%	45.8%	47.1%	1166	↓ low
39		Wind Umbra Alice	Tier 3	1	0.5%	2-6-0	25.0%	38.7%	44.8%	47.5%	1115	↓ low
40		Wind Umbra Diana	Tier 2	1	0.5%	5-1-2	75.0%	74.1%	55.0%	58.0%	1326	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Seiryuu 21 decks · 11.5%
• Wind Shadowstrike 20 decks · 10.9%
• Fire Crux Mage 13 decks · 7.1%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 13 decks · 7.1%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 11 decks · 6.0%
• Fire Aetherwing 10 decks · 5.5%
• Fire Aggro 9 decks · 4.9%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 9 decks · 4.9%
• Fire Suzaku 8 decks · 4.4%
• Water Aetherwing 8 decks · 4.4%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 7 decks · 3.8%
• Fire Exia 5 decks · 2.7%
• Wind Astra Cleric 5 decks · 2.7%
• Fire Oblation 4 decks · 2.2%
• Fire Suited 4 decks · 2.2%
• Water Allies 4 decks · 2.2%
• Wind Umbra Ranger 4 decks · 2.2%
• Fire Slimes 3 decks · 1.6%
• Wind Allies 3 decks · 1.6%
• Wind Wakeup Combo 3 decks · 1.6%
• Fire Arcane 2 decks · 1.1%
• Water Fractal 2 decks · 1.1%
• Wind Slice & Dice 2 decks · 1.1%
• Arcane 1 deck · 0.5%
• Fire Seiryuu 1 deck · 0.5%
• Horse and Taxes 1 deck · 0.5%
• Slimes 1 deck · 0.5%
• Water Dawn of Ashes 1 deck · 0.5%
• Water Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 0.5%
• Water Neos 1 deck · 0.5%
• Water Seiryuu 1 deck · 0.5%
• Water Umbra Ciel 1 deck · 0.5%
• Water Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 0.5%
• Wind Arcane 1 deck · 0.5%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 0.5%
• Wind Lorraine 1 deck · 0.5%
• Wind Oblation 1 deck · 0.5%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 0.5%
• Wind Umbra Alice 1 deck · 0.5%
• Wind Umbra Diana 1 deck · 0.5%