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Wind Astra ClericTier 2
at Mortal Ambition Regionals 中部場
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 14.1% | 7 | 1-6-0 | 14.3% | 27.3% | 28.6% | -10.8 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 11.7% | 13 | 5-7-1 | 42.3% | 44.1% | 44.3% | -2.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.4% | 5 | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 34.8% | -8.7 |
| Wind Allies | 7.8% | 8 | 7-1-0 | 87.5% | 75.0% | 66.2% | +7.8 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.0% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 46.6% | -2.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.2% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.1% | -3.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.5% | 6 | 2-2-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.9% | -2.7 |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.6% | -1.3 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.9% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 28.4% | -16.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.3% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 59.2% | +8.8 |
| Water Allies | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.0% | +16.0 |
| Fire Dawn of Ashes | 1.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.0% | +9.6 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.6% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 57.1% | +6.8 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.1% | -6.2 |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.6% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.9% | -2.0 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.7% | -18.1 |
| Wind Neos | 1.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.9% | -3.3 |
| Fire Arcane | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.5% | +18.5 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.5 |
| Water Crux Merlin | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.2% | -7.7 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 0.8% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 39.9% | -9.7 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.3% | +6.9 |
Decklists · 12 from this event
The 12 public Wind Astra Cleric decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 30 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 30 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavenly Guide | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Necklace of Foresight | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scry the Skies | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Astral Seal | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Fragmented Spirit of Wind | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Astra Sight | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Astarte, Celestial Dawn | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Harvest Herbs | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Chalice of Blood | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Lunar Conduit | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Prima Materia | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Potion of Healing | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Three Visits | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Wind | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Barter Herbs | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| The Elysian Astrolabe | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tempest Downfall | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scry the Stars | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fertile Grounds | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ingredient Pouch | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lunar Seer | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Meteor Strike | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |