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Wind RazorgaleTier 1
at Mortal Ambition Regionals 中部場
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 14.1% | 7 | 3-4-0 | 42.9% | 45.5% | 44.1% | -3.0 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 11.7% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 63.6% | +10.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 9.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.4% | +1.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.4% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 39.8% | -6.6 |
| Wind Allies | 7.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.3% | +6.9 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.0% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 58.4% | +6.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.2% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.4% | -2.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.5% | -4.1 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Dawn of Ashes | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.8 |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.9% | +3.0 |
| Wind Neos | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +12.0 |
| Fire Arcane | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.0% | -9.6 |
| Water Crux Merlin | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.2% | -18.9 |
| Water Neos | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.6% | -8.6 |
Decklists · 6 from this event
The 6 public Wind Razorgale decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Aesan Protector. Losers more often ran: Stifling Trap, Dream Fairy.
Show all 22 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 19 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unbroken Mustang | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Ardent Cloudstriker | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Scatter Essence | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Dematerialize | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Cyclical Breeze | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Dream Fairy | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Slimeshield | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Backup Charger | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Zephyr | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Diablerie | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |