← Mortal Ambition Regionals 中部場
Wind Umbra RangerTier 3
at Mortal Ambition Regionals 中部場
decks
1
(0.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
2-4-1
overall winrate
35.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
56.0%
avg ELO +3.0 per match
expected value
47.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1222
· median 1222
· range 1222–1222
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1062
Q1 1230
Q3 1394
1694
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 14.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.1% | -6.3 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 11.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 71.5% | +20.6 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 9.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.7% | -6.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 7.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.1% | -6.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.4% | +8.6 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Dawn of Ashes | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.2 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Umbra Ranger decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
