← Ascent Christchurch

Fire Crux LorraineTier 3

at Ascent Christchurch

decks
2 (1.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
16 6-9-1
overall winrate
40.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
32.5% avg ELO -7.0 per match
expected value
45.6% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.6% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1284 · median 1284 · range 1274–1295 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
973 Q1 1208 Q3 1405 1702
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Slimes 20.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.6% -11.9
Fire Crux Mage 13.3% 4 2-2-0 50.0% 50.0% 42.3% -4.9
Wind Allies 8.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 37.9% -19.4
Wind Razorgale 7.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 38.2% -18.8
Wind Shadowstrike 6.3% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 5.7% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 47.0% -4.9
Fire Exia 5.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.6% +10.5
Fire Luxem Assassin 4.4% 0
Fire Aggro 3.8% 0
Fire Slimes 3.2% 0
Water Allies 3.2% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 2.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.5% +12.0
Water Penguin Mill 1.9% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.0% -17.6
Fire Umbra Ranger 1.3% 0
Wind Cats 1.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.5% +10.4
Wind Crux Mage 1.3% 0
Wind Exia 1.3% 0
Fire Astra Cleric 0.6% 0
Fire Crux Hybrid 0.6% 0
Norm Tera Silvie 0.6% 0
Water Arisanna 0.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 35.0% -24.0
Water Astra Cleric 0.6% 0
Water Crux Merlin 0.6% 0
Water Diana 0.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 34.5% -24.7
Water Silvie 0.6% 0
Wind Arcane 0.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.8% +15.7
Wind Lorraine 0.6% 0
Wind Neos 0.6% 0
Wind Overlord 0.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 37.7% -19.6
Wind Slimes 0.6% 0
Wind Tera Silvie 0.6% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/14889/archetypes/Fire Crux Lorraine