Wind RazorgaleTier 1
at Ascent Christchurch
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 20.3% | 29 | 5-17-7 | 29.3% | 31.8% | 24.0% | -9.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 13.3% | 12 | 5-5-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.0% | -0.4 |
| Wind Allies | 8.2% | 6 | 4-1-1 | 75.0% | 65.0% | 53.9% | +2.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.3% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 60.3% | +6.6 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.7% | 8 | 5-2-1 | 68.8% | 62.5% | 59.3% | +4.5 |
| Fire Exia | 5.1% | 5 | 4-0-1 | 90.0% | 72.2% | 71.0% | +12.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.2% | +6.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.8% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 49.8% | -0.1 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.4% | +5.1 |
| Water Allies | 3.2% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 57.5% | +4.8 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 57.9% | +7.6 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 1.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.8% | +4.5 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.8% | +18.8 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.0% | -6.7 |
| Wind Exia | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arisanna | 0.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 42.8% | -6.9 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 0.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.7 |
| Water Crux Merlin | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.8 |
| Water Diana | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.7% | +13.9 |
| Water Silvie | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.7% | -11.6 |
| Wind Neos | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 0.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 34.6% | -24.7 |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 11 from this event
The 11 public Wind Razorgale decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 33 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 33 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleansing Reunion | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Wind | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Forest Cake | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fan of Seven Debts | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slimeshield | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Kongming, Wayward Maven | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Vanitas, Obliviate Schemer | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Vanitas, Convergent Ruin | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Bagua of Cardinal Fate | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ardent Cloudstriker | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Serene Wind | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Baby Gray Slime | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Three Visits | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crimson Protective Trinket | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Skirting Step | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |