SlimesTier 1
at Ascent Christchurch
decks
32
(20.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
227
122-74-31
overall winrate
60.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
59.6%
avg ELO +3.1 per match
expected value
58.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
58.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1356
· median 1349
· range 1077–1694
(32 pilots with an ELO rating)
973
Q1 1208
Q3 1405
1702
28% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
16% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 13.3% | 27 | 18-6-3 | 72.2% | 69.4% | 65.2% | +5.6 |
| Wind Allies | 8.2% | 27 | 14-10-3 | 57.4% | 56.5% | 53.5% | +1.3 |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.0% | 29 | 17-5-7 | 70.7% | 68.2% | 76.0% | +9.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.3% | 20 | 7-11-2 | 40.0% | 41.7% | 40.8% | -3.5 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.7% | 20 | 11-7-2 | 60.0% | 58.3% | 63.3% | +5.1 |
| Fire Exia | 5.1% | 6 | 3-1-2 | 66.7% | 60.0% | 58.5% | +4.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.4% | 13 | 7-3-3 | 65.4% | 61.8% | 60.0% | +4.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.8% | 14 | 9-5-0 | 64.3% | 61.1% | 64.5% | +6.0 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.2% | 9 | 5-2-2 | 66.7% | 61.5% | 60.0% | +4.6 |
| Water Allies | 3.2% | 17 | 3-12-2 | 23.5% | 28.6% | 27.1% | -9.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.5% | 9 | 3-5-1 | 38.9% | 42.3% | 42.4% | -3.5 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 1.9% | 6 | 3-3-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.4% | -0.9 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.9 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.3% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 63.2% | +9.8 |
| Wind Cats | 1.3% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 70.4% | +15.2 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.3% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 62.7% | +9.5 |
| Wind Exia | 1.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 68.8% | +18.1 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 41.4% | -8.2 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 0.6% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 51.7% | +1.7 |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.4 |
| Water Arisanna | 0.6% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 33.7% | -10.4 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.2 |
| Water Crux Merlin | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diana | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.7 |
| Water Silvie | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.3% | +19.7 |
| Wind Arcane | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.6% | +9.0 |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.8 |
| Wind Neos | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.2% | +8.4 |
| Wind Overlord | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 0.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.2% | -5.6 |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.8% | +20.5 |
Decklists · 32 from this event
The 32 public Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 31 mirror matches (6 draws excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 7 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down).
Winners more often ran: Slime's Blessing, Slimeshield, Slime King. Losers more often ran: Entrancing Filigree, Bestial Frenzy, Turbo Charge.
Slime's Blessing
Winning decks ran 1.0
copy on average,
losing decks 0.6.
Of 31 mirrors: the winner ran more in
12, the loser ran more in 6,
both ran the same in 13.
Slimeshield
Winning decks ran 3.9
copies on average,
losing decks 3.7.
Of 31 mirrors: the winner ran more in
8, the loser ran more in 3,
both ran the same in 20.
Slime King
Winning decks ran 0.5
copies on average,
losing decks 0.3.
Of 31 mirrors: the winner ran more in
11, the loser ran more in 7,
both ran the same in 13.
Twilight Slime
Winning decks ran 0.8
copies on average,
losing decks 0.5.
Of 31 mirrors: the winner ran more in
11, the loser ran more in 7,
both ran the same in 13.
Hymn of Gaia's Grace
Winning decks ran 1.0
copy on average,
losing decks 0.7.
Of 31 mirrors: the winner ran more in
10, the loser ran more in 6,
both ran the same in 15.
Gaia's Songbird
Winning decks ran 2.7
copies on average,
losing decks 2.5.
Of 31 mirrors: the winner ran more in
9, the loser ran more in 7,
both ran the same in 15.
Entrancing Filigree
Losing decks ran 0.5
copies on average,
winning decks 0.2.
Of 31 mirrors: the loser ran more in
9, the winner ran more in 2,
both ran the same in 20.
Bestial Frenzy
Losing decks ran 0.5
copies on average,
winning decks 0.1.
Of 31 mirrors: the loser ran more in
8, the winner ran more in 2,
both ran the same in 21.
Turbo Charge
Losing decks ran 0.4
copies on average,
winning decks 0.3.
Of 31 mirrors: the loser ran more in
9, the winner ran more in 5,
both ran the same in 17.
Resolute Stand
Losing decks ran 2.1
copies on average,
winning decks 1.9.
Of 31 mirrors: the loser ran more in
12, the winner ran more in 9,
both ran the same in 10.
Engineered Slime
Losing decks ran 0.3
copies on average,
winning decks 0.1.
Of 31 mirrors: the loser ran more in
6, the winner ran more in 3,
both ran the same in 22.
Lustrous Slime
Losing decks ran 3.6
copies on average,
winning decks 3.5.
Of 31 mirrors: the loser ran more in
11, the winner ran more in 9,
both ran the same in 11.
Show all 45 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 25 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Entrancing Filigree | -0.23 | 2 | 9 | 5 | |
| Slime's Blessing | +0.19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | |
| Bestial Frenzy | -0.19 | 2 | 8 | 1 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.16 | 5 | 0 | 1 | |
| Slimeshield | +0.16 | 8 | 3 | 20 | |
| Slime King | +0.13 | 11 | 7 | 1 | |
| Turbo Charge | -0.13 | 5 | 9 | 3 | |
| Twilight Slime | +0.13 | 11 | 7 | 1 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | -0.13 | 0 | 4 | 0 | |
| Hymn of Gaia's Grace | +0.13 | 10 | 6 | 5 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | -0.10 | 9 | 12 | 9 | |
| Forest Cake | +0.10 | 4 | 1 | 26 | |
| Stonescale Band | +0.10 | 3 | 0 | 28 | |
| Engineered Slime | -0.10 | 3 | 6 | 0 | |
| Spellshield: Tera | -0.10 | 1 | 4 | 0 | |
| Ordinary Bear | +0.06 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lustrous Slime | -0.06 | 9 | 11 | 11 | |
| Gaia's Songbird | +0.06 | 9 | 7 | 15 | |
| Slime Eruption | -0.06 | 9 | 11 | 11 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.06 | 7 | 9 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.06 | 6 | 4 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -0.06 | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -0.06 | 6 | 8 | 9 | |
| Seeking Shot | +0.06 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | -0.03 | 4 | 5 | 0 | |
| Blissful Calling | +0.03 | 8 | 7 | 16 | |
| Kind Beastcaller | -0.03 | 6 | 7 | 0 | |
| Verdant Slime | +0.03 | 5 | 4 | 0 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | -0.03 | 6 | 7 | 18 | |
| Beastbond Ears | +0.03 | 9 | 8 | 1 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -0.03 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mystic Purifier | +0.03 | 6 | 5 | 2 | |
| Orb of Sealing | +0.03 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Green Slime | +0.03 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Boots | +0.00 | 4 | 4 | 23 | |
| Gather Slimes | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 29 | |
| Limitless Slime | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 29 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | +0.00 | 10 | 10 | 9 | |
| Verdant Scepter | +0.00 | 3 | 3 | 24 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +0.00 | 6 | 6 | 1 | |
| Nascent Blast | +0.00 | 3 | 3 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | +0.00 | 7 | 7 | 3 | |
| Baby Blue Slime | +0.00 | 3 | 3 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |