← 12/14 Cat FootPrint Taoyuan Regional
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 2
at 12/14 Cat FootPrint Taoyuan Regional
decks
7
(3.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
40
16-21-3
overall winrate
43.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
39.5%
avg ELO -3.7 per match
expected value
44.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1285
· median 1254
· range 1072–1591
(7 pilots with an ELO rating)
807
Q1 1171
Q3 1364
1730
29% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
29% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 18.6% | 9 | 3-6-0 | 33.3% | 38.5% | 36.8% | -6.1 |
| Wind Allies | 10.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.1% | -16.2 |
| Wind Razorgale | 8.0% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 33.4% | -10.6 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.5% | 8 | 3-4-1 | 43.8% | 45.8% | 45.4% | -2.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.5% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.1% | -3.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.7% | -13.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.1% | +13.6 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 4.5% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 52.9% | +2.8 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.3 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 3.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.6% | -8.6 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.2% | +8.3 |
| Wind Neos | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 1.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.1% | -1.8 |
| Water Fractal | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.7% | +9.1 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Dawn of Ashes | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Lorraine | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.4 |
| Fire Tera Mage | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 0.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.3% | -15.6 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.0% | -19.2 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
