← 12/14 Cat FootPrint Taoyuan Regional
Wind RazorgaleTier 2
at 12/14 Cat FootPrint Taoyuan Regional
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 18.6% | 21 | 6-12-3 | 35.7% | 38.0% | 41.6% | -3.2 |
| Wind Allies | 10.6% | 7 | 5-2-0 | 71.4% | 63.6% | 62.9% | +6.5 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.5% | 6 | 3-3-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.0% | -1.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.5% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 50.5% | +0.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.5% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 47.5% | -1.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.5% | 6 | 2-4-0 | 33.3% | 40.0% | 33.6% | -8.8 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 5.0% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 57.4% | +5.5 |
| Fire Exia | 4.5% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.5% | 5 | 0-3-2 | 20.0% | 33.3% | 33.4% | -9.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.5% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 66.6% | +10.6 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 3.5% | 5 | 3-1-1 | 70.0% | 61.1% | 60.5% | +6.0 |
| Water Allies | 3.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 62.4% | +9.3 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.4% | +0.4 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.0% | +16.0 |
| Wind Neos | 1.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.2% | +3.1 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 1.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | -10.2 |
| Water Fractal | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.9 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Dawn of Ashes | 0.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.1% | +5.8 |
| Fire Lorraine | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 38.3% | -11.2 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.7 |
Decklists · 16 from this event
The 16 public Wind Razorgale decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 44 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 44 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diablerie | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Cyclical Breeze | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Slimeshield | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Baby Gray Slime | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dematerialize | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Baby Green Slime | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Fan of Seven Debts | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Tempest Downfall | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Kongming, Wayward Maven | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Backup Charger | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Bagua of Cardinal Fate | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Ardent Cloudstriker | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Swift Recruit | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Three Visits | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Displace | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dominating Strike | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Vanitas, Obliviate Schemer | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Vanitas, Convergent Ruin | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Orb of Choking Fumes | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Parcenet, Royal Maid | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Worn Diary | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windrider Invoker | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Enchaining Gale | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lost Wisdom | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |