← 12/14 Cat FootPrint Taoyuan Regional
SlimesTier 2
at 12/14 Cat FootPrint Taoyuan Regional
decks
37
(18.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
212
91-99-22
overall winrate
48.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.9%
avg ELO -0.7 per match
expected value
47.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1272
· median 1244
· range 807–1694
(37 pilots with an ELO rating)
807
Q1 1171
Q3 1364
1730
24% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
24% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 10.6% | 24 | 8-13-3 | 39.6% | 41.1% | 43.5% | -2.4 |
| Wind Razorgale | 8.0% | 21 | 12-6-3 | 64.3% | 62.0% | 58.4% | +3.2 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.5% | 26 | 11-15-0 | 42.3% | 43.3% | 45.1% | -1.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.5% | 20 | 9-9-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.9% | +0.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.5% | 13 | 3-10-0 | 23.1% | 29.4% | 32.0% | -7.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.5% | 10 | 2-8-0 | 20.0% | 28.6% | 30.7% | -8.6 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 5.0% | 9 | 2-5-2 | 33.3% | 38.5% | 40.7% | -4.3 |
| Fire Exia | 4.5% | 14 | 8-4-2 | 64.3% | 61.1% | 52.0% | +0.8 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.5% | 17 | 8-3-6 | 64.7% | 61.9% | 59.5% | +3.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.5% | 9 | 6-3-0 | 66.7% | 61.5% | 63.2% | +6.1 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 3.5% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.3% | -1.0 |
| Water Allies | 3.0% | 5 | 0-5-0 | 0.0% | 22.2% | 28.9% | -12.1 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.5% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 53.4% | +1.9 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.5% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 63.5% | +10.1 |
| Wind Neos | 1.5% | 5 | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 44.2% | -3.4 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 1.0% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 56.5% | +4.1 |
| Water Fractal | 1.0% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 67.0% | +12.7 |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 42.8% | -5.4 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.9 |
| Fire Dawn of Ashes | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.9% | +20.7 |
| Fire Lorraine | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.5% | +5.7 |
| Fire Tera Mage | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 0.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.2% | +13.6 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 0.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.8% | -3.0 |
| Water Umbra Diana | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.2% | +21.1 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.7% | -9.9 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 0.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.8% | +1.2 |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 0.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.8 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.5% | +10.5 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 0.5% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 28.5% | -16.1 |
Decklists · 37 from this event
The 37 public Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 19 mirror matches (2 draws excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 4 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down).
Winners more often ran: Scavenging Raccoon, Gaia's Songbird, Slime Eruption. Losers more often ran: Blissful Calling, Nullifying Lantern, Hymn of Gaia's Grace.
Scavenging Raccoon
Winning decks ran 2.4
copies on average,
losing decks 1.8.
Of 19 mirrors: the winner ran more in
10, the loser ran more in 3,
both ran the same in 6.
Gaia's Songbird
Winning decks ran 3.0
copies on average,
losing decks 2.8.
Of 19 mirrors: the winner ran more in
8, the loser ran more in 2,
both ran the same in 9.
Slime Eruption
Winning decks ran 3.4
copies on average,
losing decks 3.1.
Of 19 mirrors: the winner ran more in
8, the loser ran more in 3,
both ran the same in 8.
Nullifying Mirror
Winning decks ran 0.8
copies on average,
losing decks 0.6.
Of 19 mirrors: the winner ran more in
6, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 12.
Escape the Wreckage
Winning decks ran 3.5
copies on average,
losing decks 3.3.
Of 19 mirrors: the winner ran more in
6, the loser ran more in 2,
both ran the same in 11.
Orb of Sealing
Winning decks ran 0.2
copies on average,
losing decks 0.1.
Of 19 mirrors: the winner ran more in
4, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 14.
Blissful Calling
Losing decks ran 3.3
copies on average,
winning decks 2.5.
Of 19 mirrors: the loser ran more in
11, the winner ran more in 4,
both ran the same in 4.
Nullifying Lantern
Losing decks ran 0.6
copies on average,
winning decks 0.4.
Of 19 mirrors: the loser ran more in
8, the winner ran more in 4,
both ran the same in 7.
Hymn of Gaia's Grace
Losing decks ran 0.4
copies on average,
winning decks 0.2.
Of 19 mirrors: the loser ran more in
6, the winner ran more in 2,
both ran the same in 11.
Tera Sight
Losing decks ran 0.6
copies on average,
winning decks 0.2.
Of 19 mirrors: the loser ran more in
7, the winner ran more in 3,
both ran the same in 9.
Unbroken Mustang
Losing decks ran 0.4
copies on average,
winning decks 0.2.
Of 19 mirrors: the loser ran more in
5, the winner ran more in 2,
both ran the same in 12.
Lustrous Slime
Losing decks ran 3.3
copies on average,
winning decks 3.2.
Of 19 mirrors: the loser ran more in
5, the winner ran more in 2,
both ran the same in 12.
Show all 47 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 27 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blissful Calling | -0.37 | 4 | 11 | 4 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | +0.37 | 10 | 3 | 6 | |
| Gaia's Songbird | +0.32 | 8 | 2 | 9 | |
| Slime Eruption | +0.26 | 8 | 3 | 8 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.26 | 6 | 1 | 10 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | +0.21 | 6 | 2 | 11 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -0.21 | 4 | 8 | 3 | |
| Hymn of Gaia's Grace | -0.21 | 2 | 6 | 0 | |
| Tera Sight | -0.21 | 3 | 7 | 1 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | -0.16 | 2 | 5 | 0 | |
| Lustrous Slime | -0.16 | 2 | 5 | 12 | |
| Red Slime | -0.16 | 1 | 4 | 0 | |
| Orb of Sealing | +0.16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slime's Blessing | -0.16 | 2 | 5 | 0 | |
| Ethereal Slime | +0.11 | 2 | 0 | 17 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.11 | 7 | 5 | 2 | |
| Slimeshield | +0.11 | 4 | 2 | 13 | |
| Kind Beastcaller | +0.11 | 9 | 7 | 2 | |
| Verdant Scepter | +0.11 | 2 | 0 | 17 | |
| Verdant Slime | +0.11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Seeking Shot | +0.11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Paws | -0.11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Slime Nexus | -0.11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Bestial Frenzy | -0.11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | -0.11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Baby Blue Slime | +0.11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slime King | +0.05 | 5 | 4 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Boots | +0.05 | 2 | 1 | 16 | |
| Backup Charger | +0.05 | 2 | 1 | 16 | |
| Nascent Blast | +0.05 | 5 | 4 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.05 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | +0.05 | 2 | 1 | 16 | |
| Stonescale Band | -0.05 | 0 | 1 | 18 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.05 | 4 | 3 | 3 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.05 | 4 | 3 | 3 | |
| Twilight Slime | -0.05 | 5 | 6 | 0 | |
| Key Slime Pudding | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Ordinary Bear | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | -0.05 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -0.05 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Mechanical Hare | -0.05 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mystic Purifier | +0.00 | 6 | 6 | 1 | |
| Green Slime | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Academy Guide | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Ears | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 2 |