← 12/14 Cat FootPrint Taoyuan Regional
Water Tera MageTier 3
at 12/14 Cat FootPrint Taoyuan Regional
decks
2
(1.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14
3-10-1
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
34.5%
avg ELO -6.4 per match
expected value
44.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1096
· median 1096
· range 1080–1111
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
807
Q1 1171
Q3 1364
1730
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 18.6% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 57.2% | +5.4 |
| Wind Allies | 10.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.2% | -14.2 |
| Wind Razorgale | 8.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.9 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.5% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 47.5% | -2.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.4% | -18.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.1 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 3.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.0 |
| Water Allies | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.8% | -16.4 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | -16.0 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.4 |
| Wind Neos | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Dawn of Ashes | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Lorraine | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
