← 12/14 Cat FootPrint Taoyuan Regional
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at 12/14 Cat FootPrint Taoyuan Regional
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 18.6% | 10 | 8-2-0 | 80.0% | 71.4% | 69.3% | +8.6 |
| Wind Allies | 10.6% | 7 | 4-3-0 | 57.1% | 54.5% | 58.6% | +4.3 |
| Wind Razorgale | 8.0% | 6 | 4-2-0 | 66.7% | 60.0% | 66.4% | +8.8 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.5% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 42.4% | -5.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.5% | 8 | 2-6-0 | 25.0% | 33.3% | 34.5% | -7.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.5% | 9 | 8-1-0 | 88.9% | 76.9% | 73.2% | +10.7 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 5.0% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 36.4% | -10.2 |
| Fire Exia | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.5% | 6 | 0-6-0 | 0.0% | 20.0% | 27.0% | -12.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.9% | -13.6 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 3.5% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 57.0% | +4.5 |
| Water Allies | 3.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 42.3% | -5.8 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.2% | +8.4 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 1.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.1 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 1.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.8% | +2.7 |
| Water Fractal | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.0% | +11.3 |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Dawn of Ashes | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Lorraine | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 0.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.7% | +16.0 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.9% | -11.4 |
| Water Crux Merlin | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.6% | +2.6 |
| Wind Beast | 0.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.5% | -8.8 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.3% | +19.7 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.3% | +5.3 |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 11 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 41 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 41 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shadeblood Coating | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gearstride Gloves | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Gawain, Chivalrous Thief | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Diablerie | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dusklight Communion | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Umbra Sight | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Shadow Resonance | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slice and Dice | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Ghostsight Glass | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Blinding Orb | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Temporal Spectrometer | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Inspiring Call | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shadowstrike | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Verdigris Decree | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mastermind Scheme | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Blackmarket Broker | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Sharpen Blade | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sable Remnant | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Imperial Spy | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tristan, Shadowreaver | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 |