← 12/14 Cat FootPrint Taoyuan Regional
Wind Astra ClericTier 1
at 12/14 Cat FootPrint Taoyuan Regional
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 18.6% | 17 | 3-8-6 | 35.3% | 38.1% | 40.5% | -3.8 |
| Wind Allies | 10.6% | 6 | 6-0-0 | 100.0% | 80.0% | 69.7% | +10.5 |
| Wind Razorgale | 8.0% | 5 | 3-0-2 | 80.0% | 66.7% | 66.6% | +9.6 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.5% | 5 | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 39.5% | -6.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.5% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 53.1% | +3.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.5% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 61.6% | +7.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.5% | 6 | 6-0-0 | 100.0% | 80.0% | 73.0% | +12.3 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 5.0% | 10 | 6-3-1 | 65.0% | 60.7% | 57.9% | +3.5 |
| Fire Exia | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.7% | +5.9 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.3 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 3.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.9 |
| Water Allies | 3.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 61.2% | +10.8 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.1% | +6.6 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.3 |
| Water Fractal | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Dawn of Ashes | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Lorraine | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.9% | +7.8 |
| Water Crux Merlin | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.8% | +17.3 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.5% | +0.5 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.0% | +8.0 |
Decklists · 9 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 24 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 24 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Astral Seal | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Orb of Glitter | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gentle Respite | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Necklace of Foresight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Astarte, Celestial Dawn | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fast Cure | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Harvest Herbs | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scry the Skies | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Chalice of Blood | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Meteor Strike | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Prima Materia | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nascent Barrier | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Potion of Healing | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lunar Seer | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |