← 12/14 Cat FootPrint Taoyuan Regional
Fire SlimesTier 2
at 12/14 Cat FootPrint Taoyuan Regional
decks
5
(2.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
38
18-19-1
overall winrate
48.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.6%
avg ELO +0.9 per match
expected value
48.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1302
· median 1329
· range 1069–1455
(5 pilots with an ELO rating)
807
Q1 1171
Q3 1364
1730
40% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
20% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 18.6% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 46.6% | -1.9 |
| Wind Allies | 10.6% | 6 | 3-3-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.0% | -2.2 |
| Wind Razorgale | 8.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.6% | -0.4 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.5% | 6 | 3-2-1 | 58.3% | 55.0% | 60.8% | +5.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.5% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 55.8% | +4.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.9% | +3.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.8% | -8.4 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 5.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.7% | -14.7 |
| Fire Exia | 4.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.4% | +13.8 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.9% | -6.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 3.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.9 |
| Water Allies | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.5% | -4.1 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.8% | +18.8 |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.0% | +16.0 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Dawn of Ashes | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Lorraine | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.1 |
| Wind Beast | 0.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.3% | -5.9 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 0.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.4% | -20.2 |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 0.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.5% | -13.6 |
