← 貓腳印松江店 地區賽 Regional

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at 貓腳印松江店 地區賽 Regional. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

2nd
Wind Crux Lorraine
57.5%
2.9% share · 79 matches
↑ top
1st
Fire Crux Lorraine
60.8%
2.6% share · 76 matches
↑ top
3rd
Wind Lorraine
56.8%
0.4% share · 13 matches
↑ top
#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Fire Crux Lorraine 7 2.6% 76 68.4% 56.1% 60.8% 53.8% 1368 ↑ top
2 Wind Crux Lorraine 8 2.9% 79 59.5% 58.0% 57.5% 56.1% 1337 ↑ top
3 Wind Lorraine 1 0.4% 13 73.1% 49.0% 56.8% 45.9% 1543 ↑ top
4 Wind Seiryuu 14 5.1% 135 58.9% 57.9% 56.5% 55.7% 1286 —
5 Fire Exia 7 2.6% 69 58.7% 56.0% 55.7% 54.1% 1292 —
6 Fire Crux Hybrid 5 1.8% 57 62.3% 58.7% 55.6% 53.5% 1302 —
7 Water Ravishing Mill 1 0.4% 8 50.0% 46.5% 55.5% 53.6% 1276 —
8 Fire Luxem Assassin 20 7.4% 201 57.0% 56.6% 54.3% 54.2% 1353 ↑ top
9 Fire Firebloom Burn 4 1.5% 54 57.4% 62.2% 53.7% 56.8% 1211 ↓ low
10 Water Allies 9 3.3% 100 56.0% 46.8% 53.4% 48.4% 1347 ↑ top
11 Horse and Taxes 11 4.0% 117 56.8% 56.0% 52.9% 52.7% 1299 —
12 Fire Rile 112 41.2% 793 53.2% 52.3% 52.8% 51.9% 1292 —
13 Wind Allies 8 2.9% 88 58.0% 54.9% 52.6% 50.4% 1307 —
14 Water Slimes 1 0.4% 13 50.0% 54.8% 52.3% 53.7% 1356 ↑ top
15 Wind Slice & Dice 1 0.4% 11 45.5% 33.8% 50.9% 46.7% 1376 ↑ top
16 Fire Suited 12 4.4% 112 50.0% 49.9% 49.0% 49.4% 1236 —
17 Fire Suzaku 23 8.5% 222 49.8% 51.8% 48.9% 50.8% 1263 —
18 Fire Umbra Guardian 6 2.2% 68 47.1% 46.5% 48.4% 48.1% 1289 —
19 Wind Shadowstrike 32 11.8% 295 46.9% 46.9% 48.1% 48.1% 1287 —
20 Water Genbu 4 1.5% 46 47.8% 37.3% 47.8% 42.0% 1367 ↑ top
21 Fire Crux Mage 8 2.9% 64 44.5% 47.7% 47.3% 48.6% 1223 —
22 Fire Slimes 3 1.1% 34 45.6% 51.5% 46.8% 50.6% 1285 —
23 Fire Aggro 12 4.4% 116 47.0% 47.4% 46.7% 47.2% 1285 —
24 Wind Wakeup Combo 7 2.6% 63 45.2% 55.4% 46.6% 52.8% 1259 —
25 Water Astra Cleric 1 0.4% 13 46.2% 45.9% 46.2% 45.3% 1161 ↓ low
26 Fire Neos 1 0.4% 12 37.5% 44.1% 45.3% 46.9% 1368 ↑ top
27 Fire Umbra Ranger 4 1.5% 38 39.5% 44.5% 45.1% 47.1% 1170 ↓ low
28 Fire Ravishing Mill 2 0.7% 23 39.1% 40.5% 44.9% 44.2% 1170 ↓ low
29 Wind Exia 1 0.4% 10 20.0% 29.9% 44.8% 44.9% 1084 ↓ low
30 Wind Razorgale 2 0.7% 12 20.8% 37.2% 44.5% 48.0% 1062 ↓ low
31 Water Fractal 5 1.8% 55 43.6% 36.3% 44.4% 40.6% 1366 ↑ top
32 Fire Tera Mage 2 0.7% 19 39.5% 45.7% 42.9% 47.0% 1126 ↓ low
33 Water Astra Ranger 4 1.5% 34 35.3% 41.0% 41.8% 45.4% 1200 ↓ low
34 Wind Ciel 1 0.4% 4 25.0% 37.5% 41.0% 41.0% 1241 —
35 Water Aetherwing 11 4.0% 101 40.6% 43.9% 40.9% 43.4% 1268 —
36 Water Umbra Guardian 1 0.4% 1 0.0% 35.6% 40.0% 35.6% 1248 —
37 Wind Umbra Ranger 1 0.4% 7 28.6% 44.4% 40.0% 45.0% 1222 ↓ low
38 Water Tera Mage 2 0.7% 24 33.3% 47.1% 39.7% 47.4% 1203 ↓ low
39 Water Neos 2 0.7% 21 42.9% 45.7% 39.5% 42.2% 1198 ↓ low
40 Fire Arcane 2 0.7% 23 34.8% 45.8% 39.5% 45.1% 1244 —
41 Wind Byakko 1 0.4% 13 30.8% 47.7% 39.1% 47.2% 1038 ↓ low
42 Fire Aetherwing 2 0.7% 15 33.3% 47.4% 38.3% 45.5% 1167 ↓ low
43 Water Tera Cleric 1 0.4% 5 20.0% 35.4% 35.7% 39.2% 1171 ↓ low
44 Fire Oblation 12 4.4% 83 26.5% 31.8% 34.1% 37.5% 1242 —
45 Slimes 4 1.5% 25 18.0% 32.9% 34.1% 39.6% 1078 ↓ low
46 Water Beast 1 0.4% 10 10.0% 34.3% 33.9% 39.9% 945 ↓ low
47 Wind Astra Cleric 2 0.7% 10 10.0% 34.1% 32.5% 39.8% 1138 ↓ low