← Grand Archive Regional - Hideout
Fire Firebloom BurnTier 2
at Grand Archive Regional - Hideout
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 52.4% | 21 | 3-17-1 | 16.7% | 22.0% | 33.5% | -6.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.4% | 8 | 1-6-1 | 18.8% | 29.2% | 39.7% | -4.9 |
| Fire Suzaku | 12.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 48.3% | -1.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 58.4% | +6.3 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.2% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 46.0% | -2.6 |
| Water Allies | 5.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.1% | -1.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.2% | -9.3 |
| Horse and Taxes | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.7 |
| Fire Exia | 4.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.0% | +1.9 |
| Water Genbu | 3.6% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 63.4% | +10.0 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.1 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.9 |
| Water Fractal | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.4% | +21.5 |
| Wind Allies | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.6% | -13.5 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.6% | -13.5 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.8% | -11.6 |
| Fire Suited | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.5% | +13.5 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.3% | -10.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.0% | -20.8 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aetherwing | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.0% | +14.4 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 0.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.8% | -11.6 |
| Wind Cats | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 7 from this event
The 7 public Fire Firebloom Burn decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 25 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 25 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashwick Cremator | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Poisonous Apple | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Vermilion Decree | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fragmented Spirit of Fire | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Fire | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Volda, Smolder's Spite | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tether in Flames | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Heated Vengeance | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Forgelight Scepter | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Intensified Pyre | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fluffy Shopkeep | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Xiao Qiao, Cinderkeeper | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spark Alight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sigil of Budding Embers | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blazing Throw | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fiery Interference | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fanatical Devotee | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fractal of Insight | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Red Hare, Unrivaled Stallion | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Acolyte of Cultivation | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| March Hare, Mottled Host | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Impact Hammer | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |