← Grand Archive Regional - Hideout
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at Grand Archive Regional - Hideout
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 52.4% | 74 | 24-38-12 | 40.5% | 41.0% | 48.1% | -0.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.4% | 20 | 6-12-2 | 35.0% | 37.5% | 45.6% | -1.7 |
| Fire Suzaku | 12.0% | 15 | 5-5-5 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 57.9% | +3.2 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.2% | 13 | 5-3-5 | 57.7% | 55.9% | 63.6% | +5.7 |
| Water Allies | 5.6% | 9 | 4-5-0 | 44.4% | 46.2% | 45.1% | -2.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.2% | 6 | 3-3-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.2% | 7 | 3-3-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.3% | -0.8 |
| Horse and Taxes | 4.8% | 5 | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 40.2% | -5.6 |
| Fire Exia | 4.0% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 60.7% | +6.9 |
| Water Genbu | 3.6% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 57.9% | +4.5 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.8% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 41.6% | -6.3 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.0% | 5 | 0-4-1 | 10.0% | 27.8% | 33.5% | -9.5 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.4% | +14.8 |
| Water Fractal | 2.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 42.9% | -6.8 |
| Wind Allies | 2.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 62.5% | +9.4 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.0% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.9% | +0.5 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.0% | -11.2 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.0% | -1.6 |
| Fire Oblation | 0.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.0% | +5.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.8 |
| Water Aetherwing | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.9% | -16.1 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.0 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 0.4% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 58.8% | +6.6 |
| Slimes | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 0.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.0% | -19.2 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 0.4% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 56.9% | +6.7 |
| Wind Cats | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.2% | +9.9 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.4% | -5.8 |
Decklists · 20 from this event
The 20 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 5 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 5 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Crystallized Destiny, Safeguard Amulet, Cleansing Reunion. Losers more often ran: Resolute Stand, Regal Inquisition, Penumbral Waltz.
Show all 36 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 22 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystallized Destiny | +0.80 | 4 | 0 | 1 | |
| Resolute Stand | -0.60 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | -0.60 | 1 | 4 | 0 | |
| Penumbral Waltz | -0.60 | 1 | 4 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | -0.40 | 0 | 2 | 3 | |
| Shadowstrike | -0.40 | 0 | 2 | 3 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.40 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blackmarket Broker | +0.40 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Staggering Strike | -0.40 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +0.40 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| Innervate Agility | -0.40 | 1 | 3 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -0.40 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Cleansing Reunion | +0.20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +0.20 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| Heavenly Guide | -0.20 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Backup Charger | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Turbo Charge | -0.20 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Dungeon Guide | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| Beseech the Winds | +0.20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Purifying Thurible | +0.20 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Annul Spell | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dusklight Communion | -0.20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Smoke Bombs | +0.20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Mastermind Scheme | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |
| Reclaim | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| Slice and Dice | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |
| Tempest Downfall | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blinding Orb | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Spirelle, Schwartz Queen | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |