← Grand Archive Regional - Hideout
Wind Wakeup ComboTier 2
at Grand Archive Regional - Hideout
decks
5
(2.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
44
23-18-3
overall winrate
55.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.8%
avg ELO +1.3 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1324
· median 1326
· range 1206–1442
(5 pilots with an ELO rating)
905
Q1 1182
Q3 1372
1685
20% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 52.4% | 14 | 7-6-1 | 53.6% | 52.8% | 50.7% | +0.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 12.4% | 4 | 0-3-1 | 12.5% | 31.2% | 35.7% | -9.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 12.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.9% | -11.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.0% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.1% | -0.5 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.2% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 57.2% | +6.9 |
| Water Allies | 5.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 40.7% | -8.9 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.8% | -13.2 |
| Horse and Taxes | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 4.0% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 68.2% | +13.6 |
| Water Genbu | 3.6% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 54.5% | +3.3 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.5 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.2% | +13.6 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.1% | +19.4 |
| Water Fractal | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.8 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.3% | +18.1 |
| Fire Slimes | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.1% | -14.3 |
| Water Aetherwing | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.8% | -5.1 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Wind Wakeup Combo decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
