Wind SeiryuuTier 2
at 台中 Regional
decks
7
(4.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
43
14-24-5
overall winrate
38.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
44.4%
avg ELO -2.0 per match
expected value
44.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1301
· median 1285
· range 1214–1422
(7 pilots with an ELO rating)
945
Q1 1203
Q3 1401
1694
29% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.2% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.0% | -0.6 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 8.9% | 4 | 0-3-1 | 12.5% | 31.2% | 38.8% | -7.2 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 6.5% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 50.1% | +0.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.9% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 40.7% | -8.9 |
| Fire Suited | 5.3% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 59.7% | +6.2 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 5.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.6% | +5.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.9% | +2.8 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.7% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 26.1% | -17.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.1% | 4 | 0-3-1 | 12.5% | 31.2% | 40.1% | -6.3 |
| Water Genbu | 4.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.2% | -10.9 |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.4% | -7.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.1 |
| Wind Allies | 3.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.6% | -11.9 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.4% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 54.2% | +3.1 |
| Water Allies | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.5 |
| Slimes | 1.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.8% | -18.0 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 1.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.6% | +9.0 |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 1.2% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 49.5% | -0.5 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Genbu | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.9 |
| Fire Tera Mage | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Beast | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 0.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.4% | -5.8 |
