← Ascent Auckland Path of Steel 2025
Wind Astra ClericTier 2
at Ascent Auckland Path of Steel 2025
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Razorgale | 9.5% | 5 | 1-4-0 | 20.0% | 33.3% | 44.4% | -3.2 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 8.7% | 4 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 31.9% | -11.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.7% | 5 | 4-0-1 | 90.0% | 72.2% | 76.7% | +15.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.9% | 6 | 2-1-3 | 58.3% | 55.0% | 51.5% | +0.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.1% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 47.9% | -1.3 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 6.3% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 68.3% | +11.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.6% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.0% | +2.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 68.1% | +28.9 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 4.0% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 57.5% | +4.8 |
| Water Allies | 4.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.5% | +4.0 |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.2% | -10.8 |
| Fire Suited | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.3% | +21.3 |
| Water Genbu | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.7% | -18.0 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.0% | +9.5 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.8% | -13.2 |
| Fire Exia | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.0% | -22.5 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 0.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Guardian | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +12.0 |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Wind Astra Cleric decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 18 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 18 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stellaria Shower | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mnemonic Charm | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ravaging Tempest | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Astral Seal | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spellshield: Astra | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Extortion Scheme | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Necklace of Foresight | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tend the Land | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Prima Materia | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Arrow Trap | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Horticounter | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lunar Seer | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |