Wind Astra ClericTier 2
at Ascent Manila 2026
decks
8
(2.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
59
19-34-6
overall winrate
37.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
37.5%
avg ELO -4.3 per match
expected value
42.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1314
· median 1274
· range 1127–1633
(8 pilots with an ELO rating)
1061
Q1 1211
Q3 1431
1730
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 42.2% | -7.5 |
| Fire Oblation | 9.4% | 5 | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 40.3% | -5.6 |
| Water Aetherwing | 8.0% | 5 | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 40.6% | -5.4 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.9% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 27.2% | -17.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.8% | 5 | 0-5-0 | 0.0% | 22.2% | 21.6% | -16.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.1% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 54.8% | +3.1 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 70.4% | +19.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.0% | +5.8 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.2% | -18.8 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 40.4% | -9.2 |
| Water Fractal | 2.9% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 44.7% | -5.1 |
| Wind Chess | 2.5% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 74.3% | +18.1 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.2% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 39.1% | -8.2 |
| Fire Suzaku | 1.8% | 5 | 0-5-0 | 0.0% | 22.2% | 28.6% | -12.3 |
| Horse and Taxes | 1.8% | 5 | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 34.8% | -8.8 |
| Water Genbu | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.0% | +22.4 |
| Water Allies | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.2% | -14.1 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 1.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.6% | -7.0 |
| Wind Allies | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.4% | -1.0 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arcane | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.5% | +3.4 |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Polkhawk | 0.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.7% | -22.8 |
| Fire Rai | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 0.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 57.5% | +7.2 |
| Fire Tera Silvie | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slice & Dice | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Alice | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.5 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Guardian | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
