SlimesTier 2
at Ascent Taipei
decks
32
(13.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
200
84-92-24
overall winrate
48.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.4%
avg ELO -0.5 per match
expected value
47.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1263
· median 1232
· range 996–1730
(32 pilots with an ELO rating)
959
Q1 1176
Q3 1393
1730
16% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
31% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 11.3% | 34 | 10-24-0 | 29.4% | 31.6% | 31.3% | -6.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 10.9% | 26 | 10-15-1 | 40.4% | 41.7% | 40.1% | -3.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.9% | 27 | 10-11-6 | 48.1% | 48.4% | 49.2% | -0.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.1% | 15 | 5-4-6 | 53.3% | 52.6% | 56.3% | +2.6 |
| Fire Arcane | 5.9% | 7 | 2-4-1 | 35.7% | 40.9% | 41.7% | -4.2 |
| Fire Slimes | 5.9% | 11 | 7-3-1 | 68.2% | 63.3% | 63.0% | +5.7 |
| Water Allies | 4.2% | 12 | 5-5-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.7% | -0.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.8% | 7 | 4-2-1 | 64.3% | 59.1% | 60.2% | +5.1 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 3.8% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 46.4% | -2.3 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 3.4% | 10 | 4-6-0 | 40.0% | 42.9% | 44.3% | -2.6 |
| Fire Erupting | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.1% | +17.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.1% | 6 | 4-2-0 | 66.7% | 60.0% | 70.5% | +11.0 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.7% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 72.3% | +16.7 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.7% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 41.7% | -4.8 |
| Water Neos | 1.3% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.1% | +1.3 |
| Wind Slimes | 1.3% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 34.8% | -9.8 |
| Fire Neos | 0.8% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.3% | +3.2 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.9% | +14.3 |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.9% | +4.6 |
| Wind Overlord | 0.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.3% | -0.7 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 0.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.9% | -5.9 |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 0.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.2% | +19.5 |
| Arcane | 0.4% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 59.3% | +6.9 |
| Fire Arisanna | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +13.0 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.6% | +18.6 |
| Fire Shadowstrike | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 0.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.0% | -20.8 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.4% | 5 | 3-1-1 | 70.0% | 61.1% | 57.4% | +4.3 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tonoris | 0.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.9% | -17.7 |
| Water Umbra Diana | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.3 |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tristan | 0.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.3 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Zander | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 32 from this event
The 32 public Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 10 mirror matches (2 draws excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down).
Winners more often ran: Beastbond Boots, Engineered Slime, Red Slime. Losers more often ran: Green Slime, Bestial Frenzy, Quicksilver Grail.
Beastbond Boots
Winning decks ran 0.6
copies on average,
losing decks 0.2.
Of 10 mirrors: the winner ran more in
5, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 4.
Engineered Slime
Winning decks ran 1.2
copies on average,
losing decks 0.4.
Of 10 mirrors: the winner ran more in
4, the loser ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 6.
Red Slime
Winning decks ran 1.0
copy on average,
losing decks 0.2.
Of 10 mirrors: the winner ran more in
3, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 6.
Tithe Proclamation
Winning decks ran 0.3
copies on average,
losing decks 0.1.
Of 10 mirrors: the winner ran more in
3, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 6.
Backup Charger
Winning decks ran 0.4
copies on average,
losing decks 0.2.
Of 10 mirrors: the winner ran more in
3, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 6.
Grand Crusader's Ring
Winning decks ran 0.4
copies on average,
losing decks 0.2.
Of 10 mirrors: the winner ran more in
3, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 6.
Green Slime
Losing decks ran 3.6
copies on average,
winning decks 2.8.
Of 10 mirrors: the loser ran more in
5, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 4.
Bestial Frenzy
Losing decks ran 2.1
copies on average,
winning decks 1.5.
Of 10 mirrors: the loser ran more in
6, the winner ran more in 3,
both ran the same in 1.
Quicksilver Grail
Losing decks ran 0.8
copies on average,
winning decks 0.5.
Of 10 mirrors: the loser ran more in
4, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 5.
Banned
Baby Green Slime
Losing decks ran 4.0
copies on average,
winning decks 3.6.
Of 10 mirrors: the loser ran more in
3, the winner ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 7.
Blue Slime
Losing decks ran 1.7
copies on average,
winning decks 0.8.
Of 10 mirrors: the loser ran more in
5, the winner ran more in 3,
both ran the same in 2.
Slime's Blessing
Losing decks ran 1.6
copies on average,
winning decks 1.4.
Of 10 mirrors: the loser ran more in
4, the winner ran more in 2,
both ran the same in 4.
Show all 63 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 43 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Slime | -0.40 | 1 | 5 | 4 | |
| Beastbond Boots | +0.40 | 5 | 1 | 1 | |
| Engineered Slime | +0.40 | 4 | 0 | 1 | |
| Bestial Frenzy | -0.30 | 3 | 6 | 0 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | -0.30 | 1 | 4 | 4 | |
| Baby Green Slime | -0.30 | 0 | 3 | 7 | |
| Blue Slime | -0.20 | 3 | 5 | 1 | |
| Slime's Blessing | -0.20 | 2 | 4 | 2 | |
| Lustrous Slime | -0.20 | 1 | 3 | 6 | |
| Baby Blue Slime | -0.20 | 2 | 4 | 0 | |
| Red Slime | +0.20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tithe Proclamation | +0.20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | +0.20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | |
| Ordinary Bear | -0.20 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +0.20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | |
| Bedivere, Woodland Overseer | +0.20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Academy Guide | +0.20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ethereal Slime | +0.10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | |
| Vampiric Slime | -0.10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | |
| Key Slime Pudding | -0.10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Storm Slime | +0.10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -0.10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Dungeon Guide | +0.10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| Slime King | -0.10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | |
| Slimeshield | +0.10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| Bauble of Mending | -0.10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slime Totem | +0.10 | 3 | 2 | 2 | |
| Life Essence Amulet | -0.10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stonescale Band | +0.10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.10 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | -0.10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | |
| Slime Nexus | -0.10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Ears | +0.10 | 3 | 2 | 4 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | |
| Hymn of Gaia's Grace | +0.10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | -0.10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | -0.10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tera Sight | +0.10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Geldus, Terror of Dorumegia | -0.10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -0.10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Scry the Skies | +0.10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Convoking Slime | +0.10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Exorcise Curses | +0.10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | +0.10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blissful Calling | +0.10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Smoke Bombs | -0.10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | -0.10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Empowering Prayer | -0.10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Horn of Beastcalling | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 8 | |
| Beastbond Paws | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Forest Cake | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 8 | |
| Gather Slimes | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 8 | |
| Covenant of Thorns | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 7 | |
| Slime Eruption | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Verdant Scepter | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 8 | |
| Verdant Slime | +0.00 | 5 | 5 | 0 | |
| Gaia's Blessing | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 8 | |
| Twilight Slime | +0.00 | 5 | 5 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Young Beastbonder | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |