Grand Archive TCG - Houston Regional

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Allies	Tier 1	19	17.3%	49-35-14	57.1%	55.7%	52.2%	51.6%	1243	—
2		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	14	12.7%	27-26-6	50.8%	50.8%	51.8%	51.8%	1320	—
3		Fire Erupting	Tier 1	12	10.9%	33-32-3	50.7%	50.8%	48.1%	48.6%	1313	—
4		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	11	10.0%	37-23-3	61.1%	57.7%	55.8%	54.4%	1311	—
5		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	9	8.2%	27-33-2	45.2%	44.3%	42.5%	42.7%	1257	—
6		Wind Allies	Tier 2	8	7.3%	20-25-5	45.0%	46.2%	49.7%	49.9%	1232	↓ low
7		Fire Crux Hybrid	Tier 1	5	4.5%	24-12-1	66.2%	63.7%	53.1%	52.8%	1329	—
8	?	Rogue	Tier 1	5	4.5%	11-10-2	52.2%	51.2%	50.4%	49.8%	1345	↑ top
9		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	4	3.6%	9-12-0	42.9%	43.7%	46.7%	46.6%	1274	—
10		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	3	2.7%	13-9-0	59.1%	58.3%	50.8%	51.5%	1343	↑ top
11		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	3	2.7%	6-6-0	50.0%	47.3%	48.6%	47.7%	1269	—
12		Water Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	3	2.7%	7-12-3	38.6%	47.6%	47.7%	49.7%	1120	↓ low
13		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	3	2.7%	10-4-4	66.7%	65.2%	57.3%	57.8%	1415	↑ top
14		Fire Neos	Tier 3	2	1.8%	1-8-3	20.8%	30.8%	38.9%	41.1%	1219	↓ low
15		Wind Crux Mage	Tier 3	2	1.8%	5-7-0	41.7%	41.7%	44.2%	44.0%	1329	—
16		Fire Astra Arisanna	Tier 2	1	0.9%	1-2-0	33.3%	46.0%	50.0%	50.8%	1182	↓ low
17		Fire Diana	Tier 3	1	0.9%	1-5-2	25.0%	33.6%	43.1%	44.0%	1278	—
18		Fire Lorraine	Tier 3	1	0.9%	1-3-1	30.0%	43.8%	46.4%	48.6%	1335	—
19		Fire Luxem Zander	Tier 3	1	0.9%	0-4-0	0.0%	26.7%	40.0%	40.7%	1221	↓ low
20		Water Astra Cleric	Tier 3	1	0.9%	0-3-1	12.5%	32.7%	40.8%	41.5%	1061	↓ low
21		Water Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	0.9%	5-1-3	72.2%	56.2%	58.0%	53.6%	1536	↑ top
22		Water Crux Merlin	Tier 2	1	0.9%	3-3-1	50.0%	51.2%	49.7%	50.2%	1302	—
23		Water Neos	Tier 3	1	0.9%	0-4-0	0.0%	32.4%	40.0%	42.8%	1165	↓ low
24		Water Tera Silvie	Tier 3	1	0.9%	4-3-1	56.2%	53.5%	43.9%	44.4%	1134	↓ low
25		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 3	1	0.9%	0-2-0	0.0%	33.9%	40.0%	40.4%	1263	—
26		Wind Luxem Assassin	Tier 3	1	0.9%	1-5-1	21.4%	33.5%	39.8%	41.1%	1165	↓ low
27		Wind Triskit	Tier 3	1	0.9%	1-5-1	21.4%	33.5%	39.8%	41.1%	1165	↓ low
28		Wind Zander	Tier 3	1	0.9%	0-2-1	16.7%	37.5%	43.3%	44.2%	1302	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Allies 19 decks · 17.3%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 14 decks · 12.7%
• Fire Erupting 12 decks · 10.9%
• Fire Crux Mage 11 decks · 10.0%
• Fire Aggro 9 decks · 8.2%
• Wind Allies 8 decks · 7.3%
• Fire Crux Hybrid 5 decks · 4.5%
• ? Rogue 5 decks · 4.5%
• Fire Arcane 4 decks · 3.6%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 3 decks · 2.7%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 3 decks · 2.7%
• Water Umbra Ranger 3 decks · 2.7%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 3 decks · 2.7%
• Fire Neos 2 decks · 1.8%
• Wind Crux Mage 2 decks · 1.8%
• Fire Astra Arisanna 1 deck · 0.9%
• Fire Diana 1 deck · 0.9%
• Fire Lorraine 1 deck · 0.9%
• Fire Luxem Zander 1 deck · 0.9%
• Water Astra Cleric 1 deck · 0.9%
• Water Crux Mage 1 deck · 0.9%
• Water Crux Merlin 1 deck · 0.9%
• Water Neos 1 deck · 0.9%
• Water Tera Silvie 1 deck · 0.9%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 0.9%
• Wind Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 0.9%
• Wind Triskit 1 deck · 0.9%
• Wind Zander 1 deck · 0.9%