← Grand Archive TCG - Houston Regional
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at Grand Archive TCG - Houston Regional
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 17.3% | 14 | 7-6-1 | 53.6% | 52.8% | 54.3% | +1.8 |
| Fire Erupting | 10.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.6% | +13.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.0% | 8 | 3-5-0 | 37.5% | 41.7% | 44.4% | -2.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 8.2% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 54.1% | +2.4 |
| Wind Allies | 7.3% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 46.5% | -2.0 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 4.5% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 56.4% | +4.1 |
| Rogue | 4.5% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 38.4% | -7.4 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | -0.0 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.7% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 43.2% | -5.1 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.9% | +14.3 |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 2.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.7% | -14.7 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.7% | 3 | 0-1-2 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 42.4% | -5.7 |
| Fire Neos | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.7 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.9% | +17.4 |
| Fire Astra Arisanna | 0.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.3% | -15.5 |
| Fire Diana | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Lorraine | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Zander | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.7 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Triskit | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Zander | 0.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
Decklists · 14 from this event
The 14 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 22 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 22 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orb of Regret | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gawain, Chivalrous Thief | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Excalibur, Cleansing Light | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Serum of Wisdom | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Meltdown | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Orb of Choking Fumes | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Fast Cure | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Chalice of Blood | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Juggle Knives | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Uther, Illustrious King | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Serene Water | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spurn to Ash | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fracturize | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Oasis Trading Post | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ignited Stab | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Focused Flames | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |