← Grand Archive TCG - Houston Regional
Fire Crux HybridTier 1
at Grand Archive TCG - Houston Regional
decks
5
(4.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
37
24-12-1
overall winrate
66.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
63.7%
avg ELO +4.9 per match
expected value
53.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1329
· median 1347
· range 1162–1440
(5 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1197
Q3 1355
1582
40% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
20% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 17.3% | 5 | 1-4-0 | 20.0% | 33.3% | 33.4% | -9.5 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 12.7% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 43.6% | -4.1 |
| Fire Erupting | 10.9% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.0% | +0.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.0% | 9 | 6-3-0 | 66.7% | 61.5% | 60.1% | +4.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 8.2% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 70.9% | +15.6 |
| Wind Allies | 7.3% | 4 | 4-0-0 | 100.0% | 75.0% | 73.1% | +14.8 |
| Rogue | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.4% | +16.6 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.6% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 62.7% | +8.1 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.1 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.0 |
| Fire Astra Arisanna | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Diana | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Lorraine | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Zander | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.2 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Triskit | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Zander | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Fire Crux Hybrid decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
