← Grand Archive Regional - Hideout
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Grand Archive Regional - Hideout.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Crux Mage | 31 | 12.4% | 275 | 62.4% | 60.7% | 59.5% | 58.9% | 1316 | — |
| 2 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 4 | 1.6% | 45 | 62.2% | 56.5% | 56.2% | 53.7% | 1401 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Seiryuu | 18 | 7.2% | 180 | 55.3% | 51.3% | 54.2% | 51.4% | 1301 | — |
| 4 | Fire Rile | 131 | 52.4% | 817 | 53.8% | 52.0% | 53.2% | 51.6% | 1305 | — |
| 5 | Wind Allies | 5 | 2.0% | 56 | 55.4% | 49.6% | 50.9% | 48.9% | 1348 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Horse and Taxes | 12 | 4.8% | 133 | 54.1% | 54.9% | 50.6% | 52.0% | 1303 | — |
| 7 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 5 | 2.0% | 56 | 51.8% | 53.7% | 50.1% | 52.3% | 1288 | — |
| 8 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 5 | 2.0% | 44 | 55.7% | 53.8% | 50.0% | 49.3% | 1324 | — |
| 9 | Water Allies | 14 | 5.6% | 150 | 51.7% | 49.2% | 49.9% | 48.2% | 1277 | — |
| 10 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 0.4% | 8 | 37.5% | 41.2% | 49.3% | 47.8% | 1160 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 13 | 5.2% | 129 | 47.3% | 48.6% | 49.2% | 50.0% | 1330 | — |
| 12 | Fire Suzaku | 30 | 12.0% | 267 | 50.2% | 47.5% | 48.3% | 46.3% | 1323 | — |
| 13 | Fire Oblation | 2 | 0.8% | 25 | 48.0% | 42.4% | 47.7% | 45.2% | 1339 | ↑ top |
| 14 | Fire Aggro | 13 | 5.2% | 127 | 47.6% | 53.6% | 47.4% | 51.1% | 1279 | — |
| 15 | Water Genbu | 9 | 3.6% | 92 | 44.0% | 46.0% | 47.0% | 48.6% | 1292 | — |
| 16 | Water Aetherwing | 2 | 0.8% | 22 | 45.5% | 56.2% | 46.1% | 51.7% | 1304 | — |
| 17 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 0.4% | 12 | 41.7% | 38.9% | 46.0% | 43.6% | 1367 | ↑ top |
| 18 | Wind Shadowstrike | 20 | 8.0% | 192 | 44.3% | 50.3% | 45.1% | 50.0% | 1227 | — |
| 19 | Water Umbra Guardian | 2 | 0.8% | 18 | 33.3% | 28.4% | 42.7% | 38.8% | 1287 | — |
| 20 | Wind Umbra Diana | 1 | 0.4% | 12 | 37.5% | 46.7% | 41.6% | 44.8% | 1198 | ↓ low |
| 21 | Fire Suited | 4 | 1.6% | 46 | 33.7% | 43.3% | 41.5% | 46.2% | 1245 | — |
| 22 | Fire Exia | 10 | 4.0% | 86 | 40.7% | 41.5% | 41.1% | 42.2% | 1260 | — |
| 23 | Fire Slimes | 2 | 0.8% | 15 | 26.7% | 37.0% | 39.7% | 43.7% | 1175 | ↓ low |
| 24 | Water Astra Ranger | 5 | 2.0% | 46 | 29.3% | 38.9% | 39.3% | 44.2% | 1203 | ↓ low |
| 25 | Slimes | 1 | 0.4% | 12 | 33.3% | 41.1% | 39.2% | 44.0% | 1172 | ↓ low |
| 26 | Water Astra Cleric | 1 | 0.4% | 8 | 31.2% | 53.2% | 37.7% | 45.4% | 1109 | ↓ low |
| 27 | Wind Cats | 1 | 0.4% | 8 | 18.8% | 30.8% | 36.2% | 37.0% | 1142 | ↓ low |
| 28 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 7 | 2.8% | 61 | 29.5% | 40.7% | 35.6% | 42.5% | 1193 | ↓ low |
| 29 | Water Fractal | 5 | 2.0% | 39 | 25.6% | 25.0% | 35.0% | 33.5% | 1282 | — |
| 30 | Wind Diana | 1 | 0.4% | 10 | 30.0% | 45.4% | 34.1% | 40.6% | 1207 | ↓ low |
| 31 | Fire Arcane | 3 | 1.2% | 21 | 23.8% | 28.6% | 31.9% | 32.3% | 1174 | ↓ low |