Wind RazorgaleTier 1
at Ascent Niagara Falls
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 14.5% | 15 | 6-8-1 | 43.3% | 44.7% | 28.9% | -8.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.4% | 12 | 7-5-0 | 58.3% | 56.2% | 53.8% | +1.6 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.0% | 8 | 1-4-3 | 31.2% | 37.5% | 29.0% | -10.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.5% | 7 | 4-3-0 | 57.1% | 54.5% | 38.4% | -5.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.1% | 4 | 3-0-1 | 87.5% | 68.8% | 71.6% | +13.8 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.6% | +23.4 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.7% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 39.6% | -6.0 |
| Water Genbu | 4.7% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 62.3% | +9.2 |
| Fire Suited | 3.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.3% | -0.7 |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.7% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 47.3% | -2.0 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 3.7% | 4 | 2-0-2 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 49.0% | -0.6 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.3% | -2.6 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.4% | +0.4 |
| Wind Allies | 1.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.5% | -23.3 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.4% | -4.4 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.1 |
| Fire Slimes | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.6% | -1.4 |
| Slimes | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.3% | -10.8 |
| Wind Arcane | 0.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.7% | +18.6 |
| Dawn of Ashes | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.3% | +5.3 |
| Fire Arisanna | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Cleric | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Diana | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 0.5% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 59.9% | +9.5 |
| Wind Vanitas | 0.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.5% | +8.7 |
Decklists · 10 from this event
The 10 public Wind Razorgale decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Losers more often ran: Rictus Tiding, Arrow Trap.
No cards correlated with winning.
Show all 25 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 23 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spellshield: Wind | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Three Visits | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Reclaim | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Aesan Protector | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Rictus Tiding | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Four of Spades | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Arrow Trap | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Zephyr | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Scatter Essence | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Smoke Bombs | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Usurp the Winds | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ardent Cloudstriker | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zhang Jiao, Way of Peace | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Portentous Tanggu | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |