← AK Grand Crusader's Championship GCC
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at AK Grand Crusader's Championship GCC
decks
13
(4.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
131
74-45-12
overall winrate
61.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.2%
avg ELO +1.1 per match
expected value
55.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1385
· median 1388
· range 1238–1539
(13 pilots with an ELO rating)
953
Q1 1194
Q3 1398
1685
46% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.3% | 15 | 10-4-1 | 70.0% | 65.8% | 60.4% | +4.2 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.0% | 21 | 11-5-5 | 64.3% | 62.0% | 61.0% | +4.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.2% | 6 | 3-3-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.6% | -0.7 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 6.4% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 34.3% | -10.1 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.7% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 60.2% | +6.5 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.0% | 7 | 3-3-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.1% | -2.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.9% | 6 | 3-3-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 41.4% | -4.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.9% | 5 | 4-1-0 | 80.0% | 66.7% | 61.9% | +6.8 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.5% | 5 | 3-1-1 | 70.0% | 61.1% | 54.2% | +2.4 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.2% | 6 | 3-2-1 | 58.3% | 55.0% | 52.5% | +1.3 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.8% | 6 | 5-1-0 | 83.3% | 70.0% | 54.5% | +2.4 |
| Fire Exia | 2.5% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 42.9% | -5.3 |
| Fire Oblation | 2.5% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.9% | -2.9 |
| Fire Suited | 2.1% | 5 | 0-5-0 | 0.0% | 22.2% | 17.9% | -18.5 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.1% | 6 | 4-2-0 | 66.7% | 60.0% | 49.1% | -0.5 |
| Water Allies | 1.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.9% | +1.8 |
| Water Fractal | 1.8% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 42.3% | -4.9 |
| Wind Allies | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.6% | +4.1 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 32.0% | -17.2 |
| Slimes | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.0% | +11.1 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.4% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 64.7% | +11.0 |
| Water Genbu | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 1.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.8% | +13.3 |
| Arcane | 0.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.9% | +15.3 |
| Fire Slimes | 0.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.7% | -5.2 |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 0.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.1% | +9.7 |
| Water Crux Assassin | 0.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.4% | -5.8 |
| Wind Arcane | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.3 |
| Fire Arcane | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Chess | 0.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.3% | -17.1 |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.6% | +4.2 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.8% | +17.3 |
| Water Neos | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.6% | +4.2 |
| Water Seiryuu | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.2 |
| Wind Ciel | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.7% | +17.1 |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ciel | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 13 from this event
The 13 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 7 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 7 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Insignia of the Corhazi, Fast Cure, Safeguard Amulet. Losers more often ran: Return to the Archive, Annul Spell, Excalibur, Cleansing Light.
Insignia of the Corhazi
Winning decks ran 0.7
copies on average,
losing decks 0.0.
Of 7 mirrors: the winner ran more in
5, the loser ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 2.
Fast Cure
Winning decks ran 1.7
copies on average,
losing decks 0.0.
Of 7 mirrors: the winner ran more in
3, the loser ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 4.
Safeguard Amulet
Winning decks ran 0.7
copies on average,
losing decks 0.3.
Of 7 mirrors: the winner ran more in
4, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 2.
Planted Explosive
Winning decks ran 0.9
copies on average,
losing decks 0.3.
Of 7 mirrors: the winner ran more in
3, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 3.
Stolen Chance
Winning decks ran 1.3
copies on average,
losing decks 0.3.
Of 7 mirrors: the winner ran more in
3, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 3.
Lost Providence
Winning decks ran 0.4
copies on average,
losing decks 0.1.
Of 7 mirrors: the winner ran more in
3, the loser ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 3.
Return to the Archive
Losing decks ran 3.7
copies on average,
winning decks 2.1.
Of 7 mirrors: the loser ran more in
4, the winner ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 3.
Annul Spell
Losing decks ran 1.4
copies on average,
winning decks 0.3.
Of 7 mirrors: the loser ran more in
4, the winner ran more in 0,
both ran the same in 3.
Excalibur, Cleansing Light
Losing decks ran 3.3
copies on average,
winning decks 2.9.
Of 7 mirrors: the loser ran more in
4, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 2.
Prismspire Scepter
Losing decks ran 0.6
copies on average,
winning decks 0.1.
Of 7 mirrors: the loser ran more in
4, the winner ran more in 1,
both ran the same in 2.
Resolute Stand
Losing decks ran 3.0
copies on average,
winning decks 2.7.
Of 7 mirrors: the loser ran more in
4, the winner ran more in 2,
both ran the same in 1.
Banned
Unmake Duality
Losing decks ran 1.9
copies on average,
winning decks 1.0.
Of 7 mirrors: the loser ran more in
4, the winner ran more in 2,
both ran the same in 1.
Show all 35 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 15 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Insignia of the Corhazi | +0.71 | 5 | 0 | 0 | |
| Return to the Archive | -0.57 | 0 | 4 | 3 | |
| Annul Spell | -0.57 | 0 | 4 | 1 | |
| Excalibur, Cleansing Light | -0.43 | 1 | 4 | 2 | |
| Prismspire Scepter | -0.43 | 1 | 4 | 0 | |
| Fast Cure | +0.43 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.43 | 4 | 1 | 1 | |
| Resolute Stand | -0.29 | 2 | 4 | 1 | |
| Planted Explosive | +0.29 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stolen Chance | +0.29 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lost Providence | +0.29 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Unmake Duality | -0.29 | 2 | 4 | 1 | |
| Scry the Skies | +0.29 | 3 | 1 | 2 | |
| Tabula of Salvage | -0.29 | 1 | 3 | 3 | |
| Varuckan Acolyte | -0.29 | 2 | 4 | 0 | |
| The Looking Glass | -0.29 | 1 | 3 | 3 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.29 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +0.29 | 3 | 1 | 3 | |
| Portentous Tanggu | +0.29 | 3 | 1 | 3 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +0.29 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wisdom's Reprise | +0.29 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Oneiric Key | -0.29 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Orb of Sealing | -0.14 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |
| Vanish from Sight | -0.14 | 1 | 2 | 4 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +0.14 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | -0.14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Ducal Seal | -0.14 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |
| Juggle Knives | -0.14 | 2 | 3 | 1 | |
| Reduce to Ash | +0.14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lurid Dreaming | -0.14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nefarious Timepiece | -0.14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Waited Accord | -0.14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Thieving Cut | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Topsy Decree | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 5 |