← AK Grand Crusader's Championship GCC
Water Umbra CielTier 3
at AK Grand Crusader's Championship GCC
decks
1
(0.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
2-7-0
overall winrate
22.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
35.8%
avg ELO -6.6 per match
expected value
44.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 993
· median 993
· range 993–993
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
953
Q1 1194
Q3 1398
1685
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 6.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.6% | -18.2 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.6% | +0.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.1% | +16.1 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.1% | -14.3 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 1.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | -10.2 |
| Wind Allies | 1.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.3 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 1.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.2% | -9.3 |
| Arcane | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Chess | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Seiryuu | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ciel | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ciel | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Umbra Ciel decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
