← AK Grand Crusader's Championship GCC

Wind AlliesTier 3

at AK Grand Crusader's Championship GCC

decks
5 (1.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
43 14-21-8
overall winrate
41.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.5% avg ELO -0.2 per match
expected value
45.2% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.6% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1198 · median 1154 · range 1110–1403 (5 pilots with an ELO rating)
953 Q1 1194 Q3 1398 1685
20% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 60% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Shadowstrike 11.3% 4 1-3-0 25.0% 37.5% 46.3% -2.4
Wind Seiryuu 11.0% 4 1-2-1 37.5% 43.8% 45.8% -2.7
Fire Crux Mage 8.2% 6 4-2-0 66.7% 60.0% 65.8% +8.4
Fire Firebloom Burn 6.4% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 40.7% -8.9
Fire Crux Lorraine 5.7% 4 1-3-0 25.0% 37.5% 42.7% -4.6
Water Aetherwing 5.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.0% -12.8
Fire Luxem Assassin 4.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 47.4% -4.1
Fire Aggro 3.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.0% +9.7
Fire Suzaku 3.9% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 50.1% +0.1
Fire Umbra Guardian 3.5% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 3.2% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 46.3% -5.9
Fire Aetherwing 2.8% 0
Fire Exia 2.5% 3 0-3-0 0.0% 28.6% 41.6% -6.3
Fire Oblation 2.5% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 47.3% -2.0
Fire Suited 2.1% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 53.3% +5.4
Wind Wakeup Combo 2.1% 0
Water Allies 1.8% 2 0-0-2 50.0% 50.0% 49.5% -0.4
Water Fractal 1.8% 0
Wind Umbra Ranger 1.8% 0
Slimes 1.4% 0
Water Umbra Guardian 1.4% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 44.4% -5.3
Water Genbu 1.1% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 51.9% +3.1
Wind Slice & Dice 1.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 60.0% +16.0
Arcane 0.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.1% +13.0
Fire Slimes 0.7% 0
Fire Tera Diao Chan 0.7% 0
Water Crux Assassin 0.7% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.1% -12.7
Wind Arcane 0.7% 0
Wind Lorraine 0.7% 0
Wind Umbra Diana 0.7% 0
Fire Arcane 0.4% 0
Fire Seiryuu 0.4% 0
Horse and Taxes 0.4% 0
Water Chess 0.4% 0
Water Dawn of Ashes 0.4% 0
Water Luxem Assassin 0.4% 0
Water Neos 0.4% 0
Water Seiryuu 0.4% 0
Water Tera Cleric 0.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.7% +10.7
Water Umbra Ciel 0.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.7% +12.3
Wind Ciel 0.4% 0
Wind Luxem Assassin 0.4% 0
Wind Razorgale 0.4% 0
Wind Umbra Ciel 0.4% 0
Decklists · 5 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 22 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 22 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Aesan Protector +1.00 1 0 0
Eternal Directive -1.00 0 1 0
Displace -1.00 0 1 0
Veiling Breeze -1.00 0 1 0
Charged Mannequin +1.00 1 0 0
Enfeebling Orb +1.00 1 0 0
Windrider Vanguard -1.00 0 1 0
Cry for Help +1.00 1 0 0
Andronika, Eternal Herald +1.00 1 0 0
Poisoned Coating Oil -1.00 0 1 0
Fairy Whispers -1.00 0 1 0
Incapacitate +1.00 1 0 0
Reclaim -1.00 0 1 0
Rose, Eternal Paragon +1.00 1 0 0
Staggering Strike +1.00 1 0 0
Luster's Shroud +1.00 1 0 0
Extortion Scheme -1.00 0 1 0
Windmill Engineer -1.00 0 1 0
Second Wind -1.00 0 1 0
Arrow Trap -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Mirror +1.00 1 0 0
Innervate Agility +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/41584/archetypes/Wind Allies