← AK Grand Crusader's Championship GCC
Fire Umbra GuardianTier 2
at AK Grand Crusader's Championship GCC
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.3% | 8 | 6-1-1 | 81.2% | 70.8% | 66.5% | +7.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.0% | 10 | 3-5-2 | 40.0% | 42.9% | 33.4% | -7.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.2% | 7 | 2-4-1 | 35.7% | 40.9% | 44.5% | -2.8 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 6.4% | 6 | 5-1-0 | 83.3% | 70.0% | 63.2% | +7.0 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.7% | 9 | 7-2-0 | 77.8% | 69.2% | 59.9% | +4.6 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.0% | 5 | 4-1-0 | 80.0% | 66.7% | 57.6% | +4.4 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.6% | 5 | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 45.8% | -2.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.9% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 36.1% | -10.4 |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.9% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 42.6% | -5.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 54.9% | +4.7 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.5% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 52.0% | +1.9 |
| Fire Oblation | 2.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.2% | -20.4 |
| Fire Suited | 2.1% | 6 | 3-3-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.0% | -3.7 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.1% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 24.1% | -19.3 |
| Water Allies | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 1.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.6% | -21.5 |
| Wind Allies | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.3% | -17.0 |
| Slimes | 1.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.5% | -3.3 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 1.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.8% | -14.6 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arcane | 0.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.8 |
| Fire Slimes | 0.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.1% | -19.0 |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.4% | -2.5 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 0.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.1 |
| Water Chess | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.6% | +0.6 |
| Water Neos | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Seiryuu | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ciel | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.6% | -5.5 |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ciel | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 10 from this event
The 10 public Fire Umbra Guardian decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 35 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 35 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fragmented Spirit of Fire | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Feu Awakening | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Peaceful Reunion | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Accursed Strength | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Golden Gambit | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gentle Respite | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ombreux Chevalier | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lost Providence | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Inert Sword | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Unmake Duality | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nascent Blast | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cremation Ritual | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Infernal Vessel | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| The Looking Glass | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Carter, Synthetic Reaper | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Topsy Decree | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reduce to Ash | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Fire | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Undeniable Truth | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Flamme Sorcel | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Golden Pawn | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Umbra Sight | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Overlapping Visages | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Profane Bindings | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beguiling Coup | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grim Pastiche | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nocturne's Oblivion | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |