← AK Grand Crusader's Championship GCC
Water GenbuTier 2
at AK Grand Crusader's Championship GCC
decks
3
(1.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
27
14-9-4
overall winrate
59.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.9%
avg ELO +0.3 per match
expected value
51.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1295
· median 1315
· range 1147–1423
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
953
Q1 1194
Q3 1398
1685
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.0% | -2.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.0% | 5 | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 38.6% | -6.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 6.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.1% | +3.0 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.4% | +5.5 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.0% | 6 | 4-1-1 | 75.0% | 65.0% | 60.0% | +5.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.3% | -15.0 |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.2% | +14.6 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.2% | -4.6 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.6% | +7.4 |
| Fire Exia | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.1% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 51.2% | +1.2 |
| Water Allies | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 1.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.1% | -3.1 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.7% | +5.9 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arcane | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Chess | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Seiryuu | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ciel | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ciel | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
