← AK Grand Crusader's Championship GCC
Fire OblationTier 2
at AK Grand Crusader's Championship GCC
decks
7
(2.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
69
33-31-5
overall winrate
51.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.5%
avg ELO -0.8 per match
expected value
51.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1364
· median 1407
· range 1101–1584
(7 pilots with an ELO rating)
953
Q1 1194
Q3 1398
1685
57% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
14% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.3% | 7 | 6-1-0 | 85.7% | 72.7% | 70.2% | +10.2 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.0% | 8 | 3-5-0 | 37.5% | 41.7% | 33.7% | -7.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.2% | 7 | 1-4-2 | 28.6% | 36.4% | 42.5% | -3.8 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 6.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.3% | +6.9 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.7% | 6 | 2-4-0 | 33.3% | 40.0% | 38.8% | -6.0 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.0% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 33.2% | -10.7 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.6% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.1% | +2.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.9% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 56.3% | +3.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 56.3% | +6.0 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.8% | +20.4 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.2% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.5% | +1.6 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 2.5% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 51.1% | +1.1 |
| Fire Suited | 2.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.1% | -12.7 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.1% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 45.2% | -3.6 |
| Water Allies | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.5% | +5.6 |
| Wind Allies | 1.8% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 52.7% | +2.0 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 1.4% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 30.0% | -19.2 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 56.9% | +6.7 |
| Water Genbu | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arcane | 0.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.4 |
| Fire Slimes | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.3% | +13.3 |
| Fire Arcane | 0.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.0% | -3.1 |
| Fire Seiryuu | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Chess | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Seiryuu | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ciel | 0.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.8% | -16.3 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.1% | -11.1 |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ciel | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
