← AK Grand Crusader's Championship GCC
Fire SuitedTier 2
at AK Grand Crusader's Championship GCC
decks
6
(2.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
56
23-26-7
overall winrate
47.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.7%
avg ELO +0.9 per match
expected value
47.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1281
· median 1289
· range 1075–1430
(6 pilots with an ELO rating)
953
Q1 1194
Q3 1398
1685
17% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
17% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.3% | 6 | 2-4-0 | 33.3% | 40.0% | 54.8% | +2.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.0% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.4% | +1.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 43.2% | -6.5 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 6.4% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.2% | +0.1 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.7% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 42.1% | -7.6 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.0% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 37.2% | -9.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.6% | 5 | 5-0-0 | 100.0% | 77.8% | 82.1% | +18.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.1% | +17.8 |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.9% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.0% | +0.7 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.5% | 6 | 3-3-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 57.0% | +3.7 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 42.4% | -12.2 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.8% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 30.3% | -14.7 |
| Fire Exia | 2.5% | 4 | 2-0-2 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 61.4% | +7.3 |
| Fire Oblation | 2.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.9% | +12.7 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 1.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.2% | -14.0 |
| Wind Allies | 1.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.7% | -5.4 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.5% | -2.4 |
| Slimes | 1.4% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 31.8% | -17.5 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 1.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.5% | -8.8 |
| Arcane | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 0.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.3% | +18.0 |
| Fire Arcane | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.6 |
| Horse and Taxes | 0.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.9% | -12.9 |
| Water Chess | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Seiryuu | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ciel | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ciel | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.8 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ciel | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
