Ascent Toronto

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Razorgale	Tier 1	42	21.6%	153-68-24	67.3%	60.8%	64.3%	59.9%	1403	↑ top
2		Slimes	Tier 2	22	11.3%	66-70-17	48.7%	51.2%	47.4%	49.4%	1295	—
3		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	21	10.8%	60-69-19	47.0%	43.8%	47.7%	45.9%	1292	—
4		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	20	10.3%	54-64-12	46.2%	46.8%	45.3%	46.3%	1340	—
5		Wind Allies	Tier 2	13	6.7%	45-46-9	49.5%	54.2%	48.0%	51.5%	1346	—
6		Fire Exia	Tier 2	11	5.7%	30-42-6	42.3%	42.2%	45.3%	45.9%	1343	—
7		Water Allies	Tier 1	9	4.6%	34-32-2	51.5%	50.7%	47.3%	48.1%	1367	—
8		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	8	4.1%	24-28-2	46.3%	49.2%	41.5%	43.5%	1338	—
9		Water Penguin Mill	Tier 2	6	3.1%	24-21-1	53.3%	57.1%	48.6%	51.6%	1405	↑ top
10		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	5	2.6%	14-22-3	39.7%	45.1%	45.1%	48.2%	1240	↓ low
11		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	5	2.6%	11-18-2	38.7%	43.2%	42.3%	44.0%	1160	↓ low
12		Water Crux Mage	Tier 2	4	2.1%	8-15-4	37.0%	36.4%	41.7%	42.0%	1275	—
13		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	4	2.1%	7-10-6	43.5%	47.9%	48.1%	50.2%	1291	—
14		Water Tera Mage	Tier 3	3	1.5%	6-14-2	31.8%	34.4%	42.0%	42.7%	1205	↓ low
15		Wind Crux Mage	Tier 2	3	1.5%	16-12-3	56.5%	54.3%	55.5%	55.1%	1359	—
16		Fire Arcane	Tier 3	2	1.0%	2-10-3	23.3%	27.1%	39.9%	40.1%	1136	↓ low
17		Fire Crux Hybrid	Tier 3	2	1.0%	1-6-2	22.2%	37.7%	39.4%	42.5%	1153	↓ low
18		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	2	1.0%	6-9-1	40.6%	51.9%	49.5%	53.2%	1238	↓ low
19		Water Beast	Tier 3	2	1.0%	3-7-0	30.0%	41.5%	42.2%	44.2%	1268	↓ low
20		Water Silvie	Tier 3	2	1.0%	9-7-0	56.2%	51.4%	47.9%	48.0%	1341	—
21		Wind Slimes	Tier 3	2	1.0%	8-7-1	53.1%	47.1%	45.2%	42.9%	1423	↑ top
22		Wind Umbra Ranger	Tier 3	2	1.0%	2-9-0	18.2%	33.3%	42.7%	46.6%	1136	↓ low
23		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 3	1	0.5%	7-5-1	57.7%	51.7%	47.9%	45.8%	1474	↑ top
24		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	1	0.5%	8-3-1	70.8%	64.8%	60.4%	59.7%	1464	↑ top
25		Water Tera Kongming	Tier 3	1	0.5%	2-4-0	33.3%	46.4%	45.1%	49.0%	1349	—
26		Wind Cats	Tier 2	1	0.5%	4-3-1	56.2%	65.4%	48.8%	53.6%	1210	↓ low
27		Wind Exia Jin	Tier 3	1	0.5%	2-5-1	31.2%	40.0%	39.9%	40.7%	1156	↓ low
28		Wind Tera Silvie	Tier 2	1	0.5%	3-3-1	50.0%	55.9%	53.3%	54.9%	1170	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Razorgale 42 decks · 21.6%
• Slimes 22 decks · 11.3%
• Water Ravishing Mill 21 decks · 10.8%
• Fire Crux Mage 20 decks · 10.3%
• Wind Allies 13 decks · 6.7%
• Fire Exia 11 decks · 5.7%
• Water Allies 9 decks · 4.6%
• Fire Aggro 8 decks · 4.1%
• Water Penguin Mill 6 decks · 3.1%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 5 decks · 2.6%
• Wind Shadowstrike 5 decks · 2.6%
• Water Crux Mage 4 decks · 2.1%
• Wind Astra Cleric 4 decks · 2.1%
• Water Tera Mage 3 decks · 1.5%
• Wind Crux Mage 3 decks · 1.5%
• Fire Arcane 2 decks · 1.0%
• Fire Crux Hybrid 2 decks · 1.0%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 2 decks · 1.0%
• Water Beast 2 decks · 1.0%
• Water Silvie 2 decks · 1.0%
• Wind Slimes 2 decks · 1.0%
• Wind Umbra Ranger 2 decks · 1.0%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 0.5%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 0.5%
• Water Tera Kongming 1 deck · 0.5%
• Wind Cats 1 deck · 0.5%
• Wind Exia Jin 1 deck · 0.5%
• Wind Tera Silvie 1 deck · 0.5%