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Wind Astra ClericTier 2

at Ascent Toronto

decks
4 (2.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
23 7-10-6
overall winrate
43.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.9% avg ELO -0.8 per match
expected value
48.1% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.2% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1291 · median 1284 · range 1170–1428 (4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1033 Q1 1213 Q3 1415 1750
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 25% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Razorgale 21.6% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 45.6% -3.3
Slimes 11.3% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 60.4% +7.7
Water Ravishing Mill 10.8% 3 2-0-1 83.3% 64.3% 68.6% +13.9
Fire Crux Mage 10.3% 5 0-3-2 20.0% 33.3% 33.7% -9.4
Wind Allies 6.7% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 59.5% +7.1
Fire Exia 5.7% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 42.8% -7.0
Water Allies 4.6% 0
Fire Aggro 4.1% 0
Water Penguin Mill 3.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 38.1% -19.1
Fire Luxem Assassin 2.6% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 51.9% +3.0
Wind Shadowstrike 2.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 35.2% -23.6
Water Crux Mage 2.1% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 54.0% +6.5
Water Tera Mage 1.5% 0
Wind Crux Mage 1.5% 0
Fire Arcane 1.0% 0
Fire Crux Hybrid 1.0% 0
Fire Umbra Ranger 1.0% 0
Water Beast 1.0% 0
Water Silvie 1.0% 0
Wind Slimes 1.0% 0
Wind Umbra Ranger 1.0% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 0.5% 0
Fire Slimes 0.5% 0
Water Tera Kongming 0.5% 0
Wind Cats 0.5% 0
Wind Exia Jin 0.5% 0
Wind Tera Silvie 0.5% 0
Decklists · 4 from this event

The 4 public Wind Astra Cleric decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 49 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 49 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Orb of Sealing -0.50 0 1 0
Resolute Stand -0.50 0 1 1
Barter Herbs -0.50 0 1 1
Arisanna, Lucent Arbiter -0.50 0 1 0
Mnemonic Charm +0.50 1 0 1
Diablerie -0.50 0 1 0
Dungeon Guide +0.50 1 0 1
Dusklight Communion -0.50 0 1 0
The Elysian Astrolabe -0.50 0 1 0
Fragmented Spirit of Wind +0.50 1 0 1
Grand Crusader's Ring +0.50 1 0 1
Astra Sight +0.50 1 0 1
Backup Charger +0.50 1 0 1
Necklace of Foresight +0.50 1 0 1
Scry the Stars -0.50 0 1 1
Harvest Herbs +0.50 1 0 1
Scry the Skies +0.50 1 0 1
Meteor Strike -0.50 0 1 1
Morgan, Soul Guide -0.50 0 1 0
The Constellatory Spire -0.50 0 1 0
Prima Materia -0.50 0 1 0
Quicksilver Grail -0.50 0 1 0
Fertile Grounds -0.50 0 1 0
Ingredient Pouch -0.50 0 1 0
Memento Mori -0.50 0 1 0
Nascent Barrier +0.50 1 0 1
Scatter Essence -0.50 0 1 0
Seal the Past -0.50 0 1 0
Indolent Leisure +0.50 1 0 1
Lunar Seer -0.50 0 1 1
Stifling Trap +0.50 1 0 0
Nullifying Lantern +0.50 1 0 0
Stalwart Shieldmate +0.50 1 0 0
Wisdom's Reprise +0.50 1 0 0
Dream Fairy +0.50 1 0 0
Viridian Protective Trinket +0.00 1 1 0
Peaceful Reunion +0.00 1 1 0
Heavenly Guide +0.00 1 1 0
Spellshield: Astra +0.00 1 1 0
Beseech the Winds +0.00 1 1 0
Empowering Prayer +0.00 1 1 0
Orb of Glitter +0.00 1 1 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint +0.00 1 1 0
Astarte, Celestial Dawn +0.00 1 1 0
Fast Cure +0.00 1 1 0
Lunar Conduit +0.00 1 1 0
Tariff Ring +0.00 1 1 0
Zephyr +0.00 1 1 0
Cometfall +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/13122/archetypes/Wind Astra Cleric