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Wind RazorgaleTier 1

at Ascent Toronto

decks
42 (21.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
245 153-68-24
overall winrate
67.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
60.8% avg ELO +3.5 per match
expected value
64.3% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
59.9% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1403 · median 1405 · range 1082–1736 (42 pilots with an ELO rating)
1033 Q1 1213 Q3 1415 1750
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 12% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Slimes 11.3% 37 26-8-3 74.3% 72.0% 68.4% +6.5
Water Ravishing Mill 10.8% 36 17-13-6 55.6% 55.0% 51.6% +0.6
Fire Crux Mage 10.3% 28 18-8-2 67.9% 65.6% 59.8% +3.6
Wind Allies 6.7% 31 18-7-6 67.7% 65.7% 58.1% +2.9
Fire Exia 5.7% 16 10-5-1 65.6% 62.5% 60.3% +4.1
Water Allies 4.6% 11 8-1-2 81.8% 73.3% 68.7% +8.1
Fire Aggro 4.1% 8 8-0-0 100.0% 83.3% 78.7% +13.8
Water Penguin Mill 3.1% 9 5-4-0 55.6% 53.8% 45.3% -2.2
Fire Luxem Assassin 2.6% 8 6-2-0 75.0% 66.7% 57.0% +3.4
Wind Shadowstrike 2.6% 7 5-1-1 78.6% 68.2% 65.4% +7.7
Water Crux Mage 2.1% 3 3-0-0 100.0% 71.4% 68.2% +13.6
Wind Astra Cleric 2.1% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 54.4% +3.3
Water Tera Mage 1.5% 5 5-0-0 100.0% 77.8% 76.5% +15.3
Wind Crux Mage 1.5% 11 3-7-1 31.8% 36.7% 31.9% -7.9
Fire Arcane 1.0% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 62.8% +12.2
Fire Crux Hybrid 1.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.9% +11.0
Fire Umbra Ranger 1.0% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 40.6% -9.1
Water Beast 1.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.5% +10.4
Water Silvie 1.0% 3 2-1-0 66.7% 57.1% 51.9% +1.5
Wind Slimes 1.0% 3 3-0-0 100.0% 71.4% 74.8% +18.5
Wind Umbra Ranger 1.0% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 42.9% -6.8
Fire Crux Lorraine 0.5% 4 3-1-0 75.0% 62.5% 53.5% +2.2
Fire Slimes 0.5% 10 3-6-1 35.0% 39.3% 39.4% -4.7
Water Tera Kongming 0.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 52.9% +4.6
Wind Cats 0.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 53.6% +5.8
Wind Exia Jin 0.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.0% +14.4
Wind Tera Silvie 0.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 37.6% -19.9
Decklists · 42 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 75 mirror matches (14 draws excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 15 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down).

Winners more often ran: Scavenging Raccoon, Turbo Charge, Verdigris Decree. Losers more often ran: Cleansing Reunion, Dominating Strike, Viridian Protective Trinket.

Played more by winners
Scavenging Raccoon
Winning decks ran 1.4 copies on average, losing decks 0.9.
Of 75 mirrors: the winner ran more in 37, the loser ran more in 16, both ran the same in 22.
Turbo Charge
Winning decks ran 1.4 copies on average, losing decks 1.0.
Of 75 mirrors: the winner ran more in 31, the loser ran more in 13, both ran the same in 31.
Verdigris Decree
Winning decks ran 2.6 copies on average, losing decks 2.3.
Of 75 mirrors: the winner ran more in 37, the loser ran more in 20, both ran the same in 18.
Escape the Wreckage
Winning decks ran 1.9 copies on average, losing decks 1.4.
Of 75 mirrors: the winner ran more in 34, the loser ran more in 19, both ran the same in 22.
Displace
Winning decks ran 0.7 copies on average, losing decks 0.5.
Of 75 mirrors: the winner ran more in 20, the loser ran more in 11, both ran the same in 44.
Slimeshield
Winning decks ran 2.3 copies on average, losing decks 1.9.
Of 75 mirrors: the winner ran more in 29, the loser ran more in 21, both ran the same in 25.
Played more by losers
Cleansing Reunion
Losing decks ran 1.1 copies on average, winning decks 0.5.
Of 75 mirrors: the loser ran more in 23, the winner ran more in 9, both ran the same in 43.
Dominating Strike
Losing decks ran 2.2 copies on average, winning decks 1.9.
Of 75 mirrors: the loser ran more in 31, the winner ran more in 21, both ran the same in 23.
Viridian Protective Trinket
Losing decks ran 0.8 copies on average, winning decks 0.7.
Of 75 mirrors: the loser ran more in 18, the winner ran more in 10, both ran the same in 47.
Scout the Land
Losing decks ran 2.5 copies on average, winning decks 2.1.
Of 75 mirrors: the loser ran more in 29, the winner ran more in 22, both ran the same in 24.
Tariff Ring
Losing decks ran 0.6 copies on average, winning decks 0.5.
Of 75 mirrors: the loser ran more in 23, the winner ran more in 16, both ran the same in 36.
Enhance Hearing
Losing decks ran 0.9 copies on average, winning decks 0.5.
Of 75 mirrors: the loser ran more in 17, the winner ran more in 10, both ran the same in 48.
Show all 90 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 70 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Scavenging Raccoon +0.28 37 16 4
Turbo Charge +0.24 31 13 26
Verdigris Decree +0.23 37 20 18
Escape the Wreckage +0.20 34 19 5
Cleansing Reunion -0.19 9 23 4
Dominating Strike -0.13 21 31 18
Displace +0.12 20 11 1
Smoke Bombs -0.12 2 11 3
Viridian Protective Trinket -0.11 10 18 45
Slimeshield +0.11 29 21 10
Baby Gray Slime +0.11 19 11 30
Favorable Winds -0.11 2 10 3
Scout the Land -0.09 22 29 19
Ventus, Staff of Zephyrs +0.09 21 14 22
Tariff Ring -0.09 16 23 24
Enhance Hearing -0.09 10 17 2
Wind Resonance Bauble +0.08 10 4 60
Dematerialize -0.08 22 28 6
Skirting Step -0.08 4 10 2
Bulwark Sword +0.07 14 9 0
Tempest Downfall +0.07 26 21 5
Vanitas, Convergent Ruin -0.07 5 10 0
Reclaim +0.05 15 11 49
Aesan Protector +0.05 29 25 4
Stifling Trap +0.05 29 25 20
Vanitas, Obliviate Schemer -0.05 5 9 60
Baby Green Slime +0.05 16 12 45
Crimson Protective Trinket +0.05 14 10 48
Orb of Sealing -0.05 6 10 2
Incapacitate +0.05 16 12 1
Acolyte of Cultivation -0.05 1 5 0
Fan of Seven Debts +0.05 9 5 1
Kongming, Wayward Maven +0.05 9 5 1
Bagua of Cardinal Fate +0.05 9 5 1
Bauble of Abundance +0.05 6 2 0
Water Resonance Bauble +0.04 11 8 55
Blessed Clergy +0.04 20 17 4
Veiling Breeze +0.04 7 4 64
Spirit of Serene Wind -0.04 6 9 59
Zephyr +0.04 23 20 32
Spellshield: Wind -0.04 6 9 0
Mnemonic Charm +0.04 13 10 1
Indolent Leisure +0.04 10 7 0
Windmill Engineer +0.03 2 0 73
Nullifying Lantern -0.03 17 19 3
Dream Fairy -0.03 29 31 13
Orb of Glitter -0.03 7 9 0
Swift Recruit +0.03 16 14 1
Winbless Kiteshield -0.03 0 2 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint -0.03 1 3 0
Repelling Palmblast -0.03 0 2 0
Soothing Disillusion -0.03 0 2 0
Surveil the Winds -0.03 0 2 0
Ardent Cloudstriker +0.03 7 5 0
Arrow Trap -0.03 0 2 0
Forest Cake -0.03 0 2 0
Diablerie +0.01 20 19 34
Fire Resonance Bauble -0.01 19 20 23
Cyclical Breeze -0.01 7 8 60
Necklace of Foresight -0.01 19 20 12
Safeguard Amulet +0.01 1 0 74
Enchaining Gale -0.01 9 10 1
Scatter Essence +0.01 31 30 6
Innervate Agility +0.01 22 21 2
Tithe Proclamation -0.01 17 18 2
Orb of Regret -0.01 12 13 2
Disorienting Winds -0.01 5 6 0
Whirlwind Vizier -0.01 3 4 0
Cloudstone Orb -0.01 4 5 0
Nascent Blast -0.01 5 6 0
Eternal Magistrate -0.01 8 9 0
Peaceful Reunion -0.01 0 1 0
Dilu, Auspicious Charger -0.01 0 1 0
Academy Guide -0.01 0 1 0
Cry for Help -0.01 0 1 0
Mandate of Honor -0.01 0 1 0
Parcenet, Royal Maid -0.01 0 1 0
Bestial Frenzy -0.01 0 1 0
Brisk Windtrotter -0.01 0 1 0
Beastbond Ears -0.01 0 1 0
Cleric Robes +0.00 20 20 26
Spirit of Wind +0.00 14 14 2
Orb of Hubris +0.00 11 11 1
Camelot, Impenetrable +0.00 11 11 2
Fracturize +0.00 11 11 1
Imperial Seal +0.00 11 11 1
Channeling Stone +0.00 3 3 1
Tome of Sorcery +0.00 1 1 0
Morgan, Soul Guide +0.00 1 1 0
Slime's Blessing +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/13122/archetypes/Wind Razorgale