Wind SlimesTier 3
at Ascent Toronto
decks
2
(1.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
16
8-7-1
overall winrate
53.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.1%
avg ELO -1.2 per match
expected value
45.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
42.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1423
· median 1423
· range 1311–1536
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1033
Q1 1213
Q3 1415
1750
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Razorgale | 21.6% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 25.2% | -18.5 |
| Slimes | 11.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.4% | -1.0 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 10.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.6% | -16.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.9% | +6.3 |
| Wind Allies | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 33.8% | -25.8 |
| Fire Exia | 5.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.6% | +21.7 |
| Water Allies | 4.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.4% | +10.3 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.0% | +12.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.1% | +15.5 |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.0% | +15.9 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Beast | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Silvie | 1.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.0% | -14.4 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia Jin | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
