SlimesTier 2
at Ascent Toronto
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Razorgale | 21.6% | 37 | 8-26-3 | 25.7% | 28.0% | 31.6% | -6.5 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 10.8% | 27 | 13-10-4 | 55.6% | 54.8% | 61.6% | +4.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.3% | 15 | 8-4-3 | 63.3% | 60.5% | 63.2% | +5.3 |
| Wind Allies | 6.7% | 6 | 3-3-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.3 |
| Fire Exia | 5.7% | 12 | 3-7-2 | 33.3% | 37.5% | 34.1% | -6.8 |
| Water Allies | 4.6% | 10 | 5-5-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.2% | +0.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.1% | 7 | 5-2-0 | 71.4% | 63.6% | 64.8% | +7.5 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 3.1% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 55.1% | +2.9 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 4 | 3-0-1 | 87.5% | 68.8% | 74.5% | +15.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.6% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 56.8% | +3.9 |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.8% | +16.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.1% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 39.6% | -7.7 |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.5% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 41.7% | -6.2 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.5% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 50.9% | +0.6 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.4% | +18.2 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 1.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 55.5% | +5.3 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 51.0% | +0.8 |
| Water Beast | 1.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 41.2% | -6.6 |
| Water Silvie | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 1.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.6% | +1.0 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 0.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia Jin | 0.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 67.5% | +16.8 |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 0.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.3% | +2.0 |
Decklists · 22 from this event
The 22 public Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 4 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 4 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Gaia's Songbird, Hymn of Gaia's Grace, Kind Beastcaller. Losers more often ran: Scavenging Raccoon, Resolute Stand.
Show all 29 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 24 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scavenging Raccoon | -1.00 | 0 | 4 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | -0.75 | 0 | 3 | 1 | |
| Gaia's Songbird | +0.75 | 3 | 0 | 1 | |
| Hymn of Gaia's Grace | +0.75 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Vampiric Slime | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Ordinary Bear | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slime King | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Beastbond Boots | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Slime's Blessing | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Orb of Sealing | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spellshield: Tera | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slime Eruption | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Invective Instruction | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Ears | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Kind Beastcaller | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Verdant Slime | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Geldus, Terror of Dorumegia | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Meadowbloom Dryad | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Bestial Frenzy | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tera Sight | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slimeshield | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Lustrous Slime | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Reprogram | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Twilight Slime | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 |