Wind RazorgaleTier 2
at Ascent Akihabara
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 15.6% | 24 | 4-18-2 | 20.8% | 25.0% | 23.0% | -10.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.1% | 14 | 7-6-1 | 53.6% | 52.8% | 54.7% | +2.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.8% | 15 | 5-9-1 | 36.7% | 39.5% | 46.6% | -1.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.6% | 14 | 8-4-2 | 64.3% | 61.1% | 64.1% | +5.8 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.3% | 7 | 5-2-0 | 71.4% | 63.6% | 61.9% | +6.0 |
| Water Genbu | 4.4% | 9 | 3-6-0 | 33.3% | 38.5% | 43.6% | -3.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.8% | 6 | 4-2-0 | 66.7% | 60.0% | 66.9% | +9.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.7% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 54.3% | +2.4 |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.8% | +2.7 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.1% | 7 | 5-1-1 | 78.6% | 68.2% | 70.2% | +10.2 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.9% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 45.1% | -2.8 |
| Water Allies | 2.8% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 42.6% | -5.5 |
| Fire Oblation | 2.2% | 8 | 3-5-0 | 37.5% | 41.7% | 45.1% | -2.3 |
| Water Fractal | 2.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 70.4% | +19.6 |
| Wind Arcane | 2.1% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 66.9% | +9.7 |
| Fire Exia | 1.8% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 49.2% | -0.6 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.8% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 62.0% | +7.7 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.8% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 41.5% | -6.4 |
| Wind Allies | 1.6% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 68.1% | +13.5 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.5% | 5 | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 40.6% | -5.4 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.9% | -16.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.3% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 42.3% | -7.4 |
| Fire Suited | 0.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 0.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.3% | -16.1 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.7% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 25.0% | -18.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 0.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.3% | +16.4 |
| Slimes | 0.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 66.3% | +15.6 |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 72.8% | +21.9 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 0.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 33.5% | -26.5 |
| Fire Arcane | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.3% | +16.5 |
| Horse and Taxes | 0.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 74.1% | +23.1 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ciel | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.9% | +1.5 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 0.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.9% | +4.7 |
| Wind Vanitas | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Byakko | 0.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.3% | -20.3 |
| Fire Neos | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos Tonoris | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Shadowstrike | 0.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.0% | +4.8 |
| Fire Tera Mage | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Beast | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Byakko | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Kongming | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 0.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.2% | +3.6 |
| Water Tera Diao Chan | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 0.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.1% | -17.5 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ciel | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Zander | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 21 from this event
The 21 public Wind Razorgale decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Losers more often ran: Scatter Essence.
No cards correlated with winning.
Show all 35 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 34 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unbroken Mustang | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Rictus Tiding | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Cyclical Breeze | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Acolyte of Cultivation | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ardent Cloudstriker | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Scout the Land | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Fan of Seven Debts | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Tempest Downfall | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Art of War | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Turbo Charge | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Dream Fairy | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Scatter Essence | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Portentous Tanggu | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Poisonous Breezecap | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Nocturnal Blossom | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Second Wind | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Baby Green Slime | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Usurp the Winds | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Expeditious Opening | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Smoke Bombs | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |