Wind Wakeup ComboTier 2
at Ascent Akihabara
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 15.6% | 33 | 16-14-3 | 53.0% | 52.7% | 48.9% | -0.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.1% | 17 | 8-8-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.7% | +1.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.8% | 22 | 7-12-3 | 38.6% | 40.4% | 40.6% | -3.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.6% | 8 | 5-2-1 | 68.8% | 62.5% | 65.9% | +7.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.3% | 14 | 7-7-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.0% | +1.6 |
| Water Genbu | 4.4% | 10 | 4-4-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.3% | -0.7 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.8% | 9 | 4-4-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.1% | -1.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.7% | 7 | 6-1-0 | 85.7% | 72.7% | 70.8% | +10.4 |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.7% | 9 | 5-3-1 | 61.1% | 57.7% | 61.2% | +5.2 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.1% | 7 | 1-5-1 | 21.4% | 31.8% | 29.8% | -10.2 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.9% | 5 | 3-1-1 | 70.0% | 61.1% | 65.3% | +8.8 |
| Water Allies | 2.8% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 57.3% | +4.2 |
| Fire Oblation | 2.2% | 8 | 6-2-0 | 75.0% | 66.7% | 69.5% | +9.3 |
| Water Fractal | 2.1% | 8 | 2-5-1 | 31.2% | 37.5% | 43.4% | -3.2 |
| Wind Arcane | 2.1% | 4 | 4-0-0 | 100.0% | 75.0% | 86.5% | +23.3 |
| Fire Exia | 1.8% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 37.5% | -9.3 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 1.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.0% | +1.9 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.8% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 73.2% | +22.3 |
| Wind Allies | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.3% | +10.1 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 1.5% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 54.1% | +2.6 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.3% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 58.0% | +6.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 60.7% | +10.2 |
| Fire Suited | 0.9% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 46.9% | -2.0 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 0.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.8 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 0.7% | 5 | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 33.9% | -9.3 |
| Fire Slimes | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 0.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.5% | +16.8 |
| Water Tera Mage | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ciel | 0.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.3% | +21.3 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.2% | +22.7 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Vanitas | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Byakko | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos Tonoris | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Shadowstrike | 0.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 66.3% | +26.1 |
| Fire Tera Mage | 0.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.6% | +5.7 |
| Water Beast | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Byakko | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Kongming | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Diao Chan | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ciel | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Zander | 0.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 21 from this event
The 21 public Wind Wakeup Combo decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 32 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 32 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veiling Breeze | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Dilu, Auspicious Charger | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reconnaissance Scout | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Expose Darkness | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Concealed Marksman | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Evasive Maneuvers | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Scout the Land | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Draught of Stamina | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Coronation Ceremony | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Tempest Downfall | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Smoke Bombs | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Steady Sharpshooter | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Veiled Dash | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Galewind Scout | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dodge Roll | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Mad Hatter, Morose Heritor | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Safeguard Paragon | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Eye of Argus | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beseech the Winds | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Deflecting Edge | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Death Essence Amulet | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Liu Bei, Oathkeeper | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |