← AK Grand Crusader's Championship GCC

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at AK Grand Crusader's Championship GCC. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Wind Razorgale 1 0.4% 9 55.6% 61.0% 56.2% 58.4% 1200 ↓ low
2 Fire Luxem Assassin 13 4.6% 131 61.1% 53.2% 55.5% 51.6% 1385 ↑ top
3 Wind Seiryuu 31 11.0% 264 57.0% 55.9% 54.3% 53.8% 1332
4 Water Fractal 5 1.8% 52 62.5% 60.1% 53.8% 53.5% 1357 ↑ top
5 Fire Umbra Guardian 10 3.5% 83 48.8% 42.8% 52.3% 48.4% 1340
6 Wind Umbra Ranger 5 1.8% 45 56.7% 59.6% 52.0% 53.9% 1261
7 Fire Exia 7 2.5% 62 54.8% 49.0% 51.9% 49.3% 1312
8 Fire Oblation 7 2.5% 69 51.4% 47.5% 51.7% 49.6% 1364 ↑ top
9 Wind Lorraine 2 0.7% 16 56.2% 54.0% 51.4% 51.2% 1239
10 Wind Luxem Assassin 1 0.4% 7 57.1% 40.1% 51.3% 46.6% 1399 ↑ top
11 Water Luxem Assassin 1 0.4% 9 55.6% 49.8% 51.2% 49.1% 1685 ↑ top
12 Water Genbu 3 1.1% 27 59.3% 50.9% 51.1% 48.9% 1295
13 Wind Shadowstrike 32 11.3% 252 51.0% 46.4% 51.1% 47.7% 1341
14 Wind Wakeup Combo 6 2.1% 55 53.6% 55.9% 50.7% 52.2% 1285
15 Water Dawn of Ashes 1 0.4% 9 50.0% 56.9% 50.5% 53.2% 1208 ↓ low
16 Water Neos 1 0.4% 9 50.0% 56.9% 50.5% 53.2% 1208 ↓ low
17 Fire Crux Mage 23 8.2% 197 52.0% 48.5% 50.4% 48.3% 1320
18 Fire Crux Lorraine 16 5.7% 140 48.9% 49.3% 50.2% 50.2% 1281
19 Water Aetherwing 14 5.0% 107 53.7% 57.7% 50.0% 53.1% 1278
20 Fire Slimes 2 0.7% 15 50.0% 53.9% 49.6% 52.2% 1373 ↑ top
21 Water Umbra Guardian 4 1.4% 35 45.7% 48.2% 49.5% 49.1% 1246
22 Water Crux Assassin 2 0.7% 18 52.8% 42.9% 49.4% 45.9% 1367 ↑ top
23 Wind Slice & Dice 3 1.1% 19 50.0% 42.9% 49.3% 48.6% 1287
24 Wind Arcane 2 0.7% 17 38.2% 44.6% 49.2% 51.4% 1237 ↓ low
25 Water Allies 5 1.8% 41 46.3% 45.9% 49.0% 49.0% 1250
26 Fire Aggro 11 3.9% 100 48.5% 53.5% 48.9% 51.7% 1270
27 Fire Arcane 1 0.4% 9 55.6% 54.1% 48.3% 49.3% 1460 ↑ top
28 Wind Umbra Ciel 1 0.4% 9 50.0% 42.2% 47.8% 46.5% 1352 ↑ top
29 Water Chess 1 0.4% 9 33.3% 44.3% 47.5% 48.6% 1191 ↓ low
30 Fire Suited 6 2.1% 56 47.3% 52.7% 47.1% 50.7% 1281
31 Wind Astra Cleric 9 3.2% 81 46.3% 50.2% 46.7% 49.1% 1286
32 Wind Umbra Diana 2 0.7% 13 30.8% 43.1% 46.2% 49.8% 1093 ↓ low
33 Water Tera Cleric 1 0.4% 9 33.3% 47.7% 46.2% 49.1% 1106 ↓ low
34 Slimes 4 1.4% 27 44.4% 55.2% 46.1% 50.2% 1243
35 Fire Seiryuu 1 0.4% 7 28.6% 38.7% 46.1% 46.7% 1190 ↓ low
36 Fire Firebloom Burn 18 6.4% 147 43.5% 48.3% 45.4% 48.6% 1221 ↓ low
37 Wind Allies 5 1.8% 43 41.9% 49.5% 45.2% 48.6% 1198 ↓ low
38 Horse and Taxes 1 0.4% 7 42.9% 42.7% 44.6% 44.3% 1237 ↓ low
39 Water Umbra Ciel 1 0.4% 9 22.2% 35.8% 44.6% 45.5% 993 ↓ low
40 Wind Ciel 1 0.4% 9 38.9% 47.5% 44.1% 45.5% 1139 ↓ low
41 Fire Suzaku 11 3.9% 87 37.4% 40.1% 44.0% 46.0% 1217 ↓ low
42 Water Seiryuu 1 0.4% 8 37.5% 44.4% 43.9% 45.7% 1186 ↓ low
43 Arcane 2 0.7% 14 28.6% 31.6% 43.4% 43.3% 1307
44 Fire Aetherwing 8 2.8% 66 37.9% 49.4% 42.3% 48.7% 1182 ↓ low
45 Fire Tera Diao Chan 2 0.7% 6 0.0% 25.7% 40.0% 42.0% 1174 ↓ low