Fire Crux HybridTier 2
at Ascent Singapore
decks
17
(6.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
133
59-63-11
overall winrate
48.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.4%
avg ELO -2.8 per match
expected value
48.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1301
· median 1292
· range 1091–1574
(17 pilots with an ELO rating)
1003
Q1 1211
Q3 1400
1730
24% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
41% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 28.8% | 42 | 15-23-4 | 40.5% | 41.3% | 30.6% | -6.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.3% | 14 | 7-6-1 | 53.6% | 52.8% | 52.9% | +1.2 |
| Wind Allies | 8.2% | 11 | 11-0-0 | 100.0% | 86.7% | 86.9% | +16.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.2% | 11 | 5-6-0 | 45.5% | 46.7% | 36.0% | -6.1 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 6.8% | 8 | 3-5-0 | 37.5% | 41.7% | 35.2% | -7.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.7% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 28.3% | -13.9 |
| Water Allies | 5.3% | 8 | 3-5-0 | 37.5% | 41.7% | 44.2% | -2.8 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 2.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 67.0% | +16.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.5% | 7 | 2-5-0 | 28.6% | 36.4% | 33.2% | -8.4 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.8% | 4 | 4-0-0 | 100.0% | 75.0% | 71.4% | +13.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 1.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.7% | +0.6 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.2% | -23.7 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.3% | -20.4 |
| Water Neos | 1.1% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 37.6% | -9.2 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 0.7% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 38.2% | -8.8 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Lorraine | 0.4% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 44.7% | -5.1 |
| Fire Neos | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luxem Assassin | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.7% | +7.6 |
| Water Lorraine | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.2% | -2.8 |
| Water Neos Tonoris | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.5% | +13.5 |
| Water Overlord | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 0.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.7% | +2.7 |
| Water Umbra Tristan | 0.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 39.7% | -16.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 0.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.7% | +1.1 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 34.9% | -24.2 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.2% | +21.1 |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.5% | +8.8 |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 0.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.9% | -16.1 |
