Wind Umbra RangerTier 2
at Ascent Singapore
decks
4
(1.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
38
19-17-2
overall winrate
52.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
60.5%
avg ELO +3.7 per match
expected value
53.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1207
· median 1193
· range 1145–1298
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1003
Q1 1211
Q3 1400
1730
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 28.8% | 7 | 4-3-0 | 57.1% | 54.5% | 59.0% | +4.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.3% | 7 | 4-2-1 | 64.3% | 59.1% | 66.1% | +8.1 |
| Wind Allies | 8.2% | 8 | 3-5-0 | 37.5% | 41.7% | 47.8% | -1.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 57.3% | +7.0 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 6.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.5% | +18.4 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 6.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.7% | +20.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 67.4% | +16.7 |
| Water Allies | 5.3% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 35.8% | -10.6 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.0 |
| Fire Erupting | 2.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.0% | -1.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.2% | +8.4 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.9% | -14.5 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Lorraine | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.4% | +21.5 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luxem Assassin | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.6% | -21.4 |
| Water Lorraine | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos Tonoris | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Tristan | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
