Wind Crux LorraineTier 3
at Ascent Singapore
decks
1
(0.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
3-4-2
overall winrate
44.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.5%
avg ELO -3.0 per match
expected value
43.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
40.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1362
· median 1362
· range 1362–1362
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1003
Q1 1211
Q3 1400
1730
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 28.8% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 27.8% | -16.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.3% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 41.0% | -8.6 |
| Wind Allies | 8.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.1% | +11.6 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 6.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.3% | -7.4 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 6.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 65.1% | +24.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Lorraine | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luxem Assassin | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Lorraine | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos Tonoris | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Tristan | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Crux Lorraine decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
