Water Astra ClericTier 3
at Ascent Singapore
decks
4
(1.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
31
8-16-7
overall winrate
37.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.0%
avg ELO -0.4 per match
expected value
42.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1185
· median 1177
· range 1122–1266
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1003
Q1 1211
Q3 1400
1730
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 28.8% | 10 | 3-7-0 | 30.0% | 35.7% | 47.8% | -1.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.3% | -7.5 |
| Wind Allies | 8.2% | 5 | 1-2-2 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 52.2% | +1.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.2% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 44.5% | -5.3 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 6.8% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 37.6% | -11.9 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 6.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.8% | +23.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.9% | -16.1 |
| Water Allies | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 66.0% | +25.6 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 31.8% | -17.5 |
| Fire Erupting | 2.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.6% | +20.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.7% | -11.6 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.3% | +18.1 |
| Fire Lorraine | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 0.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.9% | +6.2 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luxem Assassin | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Lorraine | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos Tonoris | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 0.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.4% | +0.6 |
| Water Umbra Tristan | 0.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.2% | +1.9 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Water Astra Cleric decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
