Fire Luxem AssassinTier 2
at Ascent Singapore
decks
7
(2.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
70
38-26-6
overall winrate
58.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
59.6%
avg ELO +3.2 per match
expected value
55.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
56.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1288
· median 1296
· range 1190–1380
(7 pilots with an ELO rating)
1003
Q1 1211
Q3 1400
1730
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
14% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 28.8% | 20 | 9-10-1 | 47.5% | 47.9% | 47.2% | -1.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.3% | 10 | 7-2-1 | 75.0% | 67.9% | 76.3% | +11.8 |
| Wind Allies | 8.2% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 60.1% | +6.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.2% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 62.7% | +8.1 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 6.8% | 9 | 3-4-2 | 44.4% | 46.2% | 45.7% | -2.0 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 6.0% | 7 | 5-2-0 | 71.4% | 63.6% | 66.8% | +8.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.4% | +11.9 |
| Water Allies | 5.3% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 60.1% | +6.4 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.6% | +21.8 |
| Fire Erupting | 2.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.5% | -8.7 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.8% | +22.0 |
| Fire Slimes | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.3% | -15.5 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.8% | -8.4 |
| Water Neos | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.2% | +18.0 |
| Fire Lorraine | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luxem Assassin | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Tera Silvie | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.8% | -22.8 |
| Water Lorraine | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos Tonoris | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Overlord | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 0.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 33.8% | -25.9 |
| Water Umbra Tristan | 0.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +13.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.2% | -12.5 |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 0.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
